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Author Topic: Canadian federal polling division files  (Read 168014 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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Posts: 58,206
India


« on: July 01, 2009, 10:36:17 AM »

Wow, keep em coming.

I echo the Saskatchewan demands!

Oh, and that Edmonton (I think it was Edmonton) suburban riding that almost went iCon. I'd like to see whether that was locally polarized much.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #1 on: July 02, 2009, 11:53:39 AM »

Thanks!
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #2 on: July 05, 2009, 03:38:55 PM »

I would like to see the rest of the Sas rurban seats. Smiley
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #3 on: July 07, 2009, 03:38:35 AM »
« Edited: July 07, 2009, 03:41:46 AM by Lewis Trondheim, worker cat »

I was going to get around to Central Nova soon anyway...



Greens did the best in Antigonish, where St. FX is, so that makes sense, and it looks like their best result was Pictou Island. (interesting). I don't know anything about Pictou Island.  Wikipedia says it is a fishing Island but it also uses solar and windpower, which might explain some things.

The NDP polls seem kind of random...
The two rural ones look perfectly random. I tried to figure out what that NDP-voting village east of Antigonish is, and it seems that it's a Micmac reservation (Afton).

Median household income is a third of Manitoba's... and the households are larger on average.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #4 on: July 10, 2009, 03:46:19 AM »

Riding boundaries really seem to mean a lot.

A local Member's personal vote, perhaps?

Somewhat, but also factor in strategic voting. I think maps like this prove it exists.
I don't think that was needed anymore.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #5 on: July 10, 2009, 04:40:56 PM »

That lightblue corridor is interesting.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #6 on: July 12, 2009, 02:37:38 PM »

You could probably gerrymander an NDP riding into there somewhere.
And you wouldn't have to head out to Moose Jaw or any reservation.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #7 on: July 13, 2009, 07:03:55 AM »

Welcome. -_-
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #8 on: July 13, 2009, 01:37:37 PM »

Where is that on the map?
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #9 on: July 15, 2009, 05:02:27 AM »

I demand the closer North Ontario ridings!
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #10 on: July 17, 2009, 02:41:50 AM »

Why is that stretch along the east coast (North from Nanaimo) so Conservative?
Also, wow at Nanaimo itself. Does it just naturally fall into a northside and a southside, or is there a lot of personal vote for incumbents involved in creating that impression?
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #11 on: July 17, 2009, 04:04:58 AM »

It's not as if splitting the town can be avoided, except maybe by drawing a district tightly around it and having another connecting coastal areas north and south of it, nominally connected through the comparatively empty west coast - now that would be a gerrymander (though it wouldn't look it).
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #12 on: July 17, 2009, 08:56:59 AM »

Why is that stretch along the east coast (North from Nanaimo) so Conservative?

It's one of those areas where old middle class people go to die.
Might have guessed. Semi sorta did, actually.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #13 on: July 17, 2009, 09:10:15 AM »

Why is that stretch along the east coast (North from Nanaimo) so Conservative?

It's one of those areas where old middle class people go to die.
Might have guessed. Semi sorta did, actually.


Some of those old people vote NDP, though. Vancouver Island is full of them.
Well there's a difference between old people who go there to die and old people who've lived there all their life...
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #14 on: July 18, 2009, 10:03:45 AM »

Why is Bowen Island so liberal? Makes little sense from what the wiki has to say about how it is now - you can guess from the article that it is latte liberal, but are left wondering why.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #15 on: July 19, 2009, 04:57:47 AM »

Why is Bowen Island so liberal? Makes little sense from what the wiki has to say about how it is now - you can guess from the article that it is latte liberal, but are left wondering why.

Probably the same reason the Gulf Islands area.
Which are what, Conservatives don't use ferries to commute?
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #16 on: August 02, 2009, 04:47:14 AM »

Do we have the Halifax agglomeration? I don't think we do.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #17 on: August 02, 2009, 02:55:08 PM »

Like a kid in a candy shop, I would like the Kitchener Waterloo Conurbation...
Echoed.

And London. And Thunder Bay.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #18 on: August 04, 2009, 01:39:57 PM »

I do. Quebec City is hella depressing. Tongue
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #19 on: August 04, 2009, 02:05:48 PM »

You can cheer me up by doing Halifax first. Tongue
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #20 on: August 06, 2009, 11:21:16 AM »

Thanks for Halifax!

I oppose that name change idea. "Democratic Party" sounds dull and MOR. Tongue

That northern Brampton riding seems to have an odd population distribution... what's that about (I don't know anything about the area).
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #21 on: August 08, 2009, 04:03:25 PM »

Hey folks...don't know if this is old news or not, but I just noticed this today. Federal polling division boundaries are finally available to us peons through GeoGratis, if you have a GIS program. They go back to 2000.
Would it be possible to make maps of 2006 with that?

If so, I have an odd request. (Actually, I'd be somewhat interested even in 2008. Dull as it will look.) Macleod, Alberta. Myron Wolf Child took 2.1% of the vote riding-wide in 2006 as a Native Nationalist indy... I want to see how he did on the riding's four reserves.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #22 on: August 09, 2009, 03:23:55 AM »

For Myron Wolf Child in 2006:

Sarcee 15: 1.3%. 61.7% Cons
Sarcee 16: 2.7%. 55.3% Cons
Sarcee 17: 17.1%. 68.6% Libs
Sarcee has white-inhabited areas. It shows, I suppose...

Now I wonder what percentage of Wolf Child's vote came from the rezzes... and what percentage of the Liberal candidate's. And what the result for the nonrez part of the riding is. Smiley
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #23 on: August 09, 2009, 03:45:27 AM »

For Myron Wolf Child in 2006:

Sarcee 15: 1.3%. 61.7% Cons
Sarcee 16: 2.7%. 55.3% Cons
Sarcee 17: 17.1%. 68.6% Libs
Sarcee has white-inhabited areas. It shows, I suppose...

Now I wonder what percentage of Wolf Child's vote came from the rezzes... and what percentage of the Liberal candidate's. And what the result for the nonrez part of the riding is. Smiley

Easy to calculate. I'll calculate about tomorrow. Too tired now. With or without Sarcee 15 and 16?
I don't care, just mention which you did. Or just post me the exact link and I'll do it myself. Smiley
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #24 on: August 09, 2009, 03:49:16 AM »

Some stats on Eden Valley... (figure on right is Alberta)

Number of dwellings constructed before 1986      25                              785,200                
Number of dwellings constructed between 1986 and 2006    40                    470,995          
Dwellings requiring major repair - as a % of total occupied private dwellings    76.9                    6.7          
Dwellings with more than one person per room - as a % of total occupied private dwellings    30.8                    1.3      
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