State trends... (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  State trends... (search mode)
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Husker
Rookie
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Posts: 154
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -5.70

« on: July 08, 2009, 07:28:47 PM »
« edited: July 08, 2009, 07:30:19 PM by Husker »



I made this map a few months ago so I don't recall the exact percentages that correspond to the colors. At any rate, this is the change in the republican share of the vote in Nebraska since 1960. Suffice to say that the darker the red, the greater the decrease was from Nixon to McCain. For example, Nixon got 62.6% of the vote in 1960 in Lancaster County vs. 46.6% for John McCain in 2008.

There is a strong correlation (but not 1:1) here between population growth since 1960 and decreasing share of republican vote. With a few exceptions, most of the places that have become more democratic  have seen population increases, while those that have lost people, have become more republican. Many counties in western and central NE had fewer votes cast in 2008 than in 1960.

I'm certainly interested in how other states have changed since 1960 and might do so if I have more time....
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Husker
Rookie
**
Posts: 154
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -5.70

« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2009, 08:22:35 PM »

Here are the Top 10 democratic and republican states in every 4th election starting in 1960. Darkest shade of red and blue indicates most democrat and republican state respectively

1960:


1976:


1992:


2008:



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