Australian Election 2004 Results Thread

[Baggy Green]

I know there was another thread, but it was already really long and now that election day is upon us I thought a new one was needed for seat by seat results and such.

Voting is already underway in the eastern states.

The ACNielsen poll has the coalition leading Labor 54 per cent to 46 per cent on a two-party preferred basis. The poll shows the coalition's primary vote at 49 per cent, compared with Labor's 37 per cent, while The Greens - which is directing most of its preferences to Labor - won 7 per cent of support.
   
But the Newspoll, published in The Weekend Australian newspaper, shows Labor and the coalition split 50-50 on a two-party preferred basis.

[Platypus]

also of note is that the Newspoll shows a 15% undecided vote, which is truly amazing. (Baggy-I won't bag you in this hread, promise did you see the great Melburnian in action in india? 150 ain't bad from leftist Victorian scum )

[Baggy Green]

also of note is that the Newspoll shows a 15% undecided vote, which is truly amazing. (Baggy-I won't bag you in this hread, promise did you see the great Melburnian in action in india? 150 ain't bad from leftist Victorian scum )

I still can't get over how many undecideds there are. We'll see how it all turns out though.

Yeah, we are beating India pretty bad. They have really gone downhill since the last World Cup.

I don't think leftists or Victorians are scum. I am, after all, a member of the ALP, and from Victoria.

[Hatman 🍁]

The great thing about Australia is the undecideds have to vote

[Hatman 🍁]

Perhaps, but that notion is unreasonable.

[Platypus]

well it is at least theoretically truly representative democracy-you need to win 50%+1 of the totasl possible vote to be elected under the compulsory preferental system. Whilst only about 96% of votes are valid, it's still a lot better then, for example, the American system, where Bush won less then a quarter of the total possible vote (as did Gore, btw).

[Platypus]

20mins. to go

Polls have already closed in Tasmania (at 4pm Australian Eastern Standard Time-they have daylight saving), Queensland, New South Wales, the ACT, Victoria, (akll at 5pm eastern) and 10 minutes ago (at 5.30pm eastern) they closed in the Northern Territory and SOuth Australia. They don't close for another hour and a half in WA, at 7pm Eastern time.

I'm just trying to find a place where you can watch it online for those from overseas

[Hatman 🍁]

It's bed time in North America. Right now it's 3:49am in Ontario, so almost midnight on the west coast. And I'm going to bed.

[??????????]

Go Howard!

[Platypus]

6 minutes, and no luck with a webcast; the ABC doesnt have one and I dont think channel nine has one either. If anyone finds one, tell the other blokes here.

I might be popping in through the night but I'll basically be off. My top 5 to look at with interest? Solomon, in the Northern Territory; Bass in Tasmania; Hinkler in Queensland; Dobell in New South Wales; and Adelaide in South Australia. And of course the three-way contest in Wentworth, and my home seat of Melbourne Ports

And statesrights-if you are so in favour of states rights, you'd be voting for Latham in this election; Howard is a huge federalist. Whilst I'm a federalist, he really has hurt states rights, and that one of the reasons every single state and territories lower house is controlled by the Labor Party.

[Platypus]

we have a webcast: Skynews

not the best, but existant

[??????????]

6 minutes, and no luck with a webcast; the ABC doesnt have one and I dont think channel nine has one either. If anyone finds one, tell the other blokes here.

I might be popping in through the night but I'll basically be off. My top 5 to look at with interest? Solomon, in the Northern Territory; Bass in Tasmania; Hinkler in Queensland; Dobell in New South Wales; and Adelaide in South Australia. And of course the three-way contest in Wentworth, and my home seat of Melbourne Ports

And statesrights-if you are so in favour of states rights, you'd be voting for Latham in this election; Howard is a huge federalist. Whilst I'm a federalist, he really has hurt states rights, and that one of the reasons every single state and territories lower house is controlled by the Labor Party.

I have no idea what Howards done on the local level. But I am grateful for his support of President Bush and the war in Iraq. Latham says he will immediately pull out. Therefor I have no choice but to support Howard.

[Platypus]

cancel that, try the australian electoral commissions website, www.aec.gov.au

no analysis, but at least the results

[Platypus]

Tasmania current-all 5 ALP

Indications- 3 ALP, 2 Liberal.

But, take heart leftists worldwide; Eden Monaro is showing a near 4% swing to the ALP, and it has gone with the winnner for the last 32 years.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Tasmania current-all 5 ALP

Indications- 3 ALP, 2 Liberal.

But, take heart leftists worldwide; Eden Monaro is showing a near 4% swing to the ALP, and it has gone with the winnner for the last 32 years.

Last election there was an Anti-Howard swing in Tasmania 'cos of the whole boat people thing (only state where it produced a negative swing for Howard).

[Silent Hunter]

Currently a 4% swing to the Liberals.

[Platypus]

Al-whereas now its an anti-Latham swing on logging

silent-sorta

in Tasmania, yes, but on the mainland its hard to say.

[Silent Hunter]

Western polls close in an hour, right?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Al-whereas now its an anti-Latham swing on logging

Yep... 7pt swing in Braddon.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Currently a 4% swing to the Liberals.

Now down to 3%

[Silent Hunter]

ABC says a 3.8% swing to the Liberals, -0.8  from Labour, -3.7 from the Democrats. Are the Democrats conservatives? If so, could be some tactical voting here.

Current prediction:

Liberal 57
National 13
Labor 40
Greens 1
Others 3

[Filuwaúrdjan]

ABC says a 3.8% swing to the Liberals, -0.8  from Labour, -3.7 from the Democrats. Are the Democrats conservatives? If so, could be some tactical voting here.

Current prediction:

Liberal 57
National 13
Labor 40
Greens 1
Others 3

Two-Party swing has been dropping for a bit now... down to 2.7%

[Silent Hunter]

There'll be a small swing to Labor, IMO, but it'll won't be enough.

[Platypus]

i'm prepared to predict a Coalition win

In my seat, Melbourne Ports, Labor has 1500, Greens have 500, and tghe Lberals have 1800; but after preferences it should be about 1900 each :eek:

[Platypus]

John Howard, Prime Minister 1996-2006

Peter Costello, Prime Minister 2006-2007+