Most vunerable (user search)
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Author Topic: Most vunerable  (Read 3898 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« on: July 20, 2009, 07:52:22 PM »

Cao is the only really vulnerable GOP incumbent in the House right now. There are a few that might become so, if good opponents pop up -- Lee Terry, Dave Reichert, Dan Lundgren and of course Michele Bachmann.

For the Dems, there are a few categories. There are the incumbents in hostile districts -- Bobby Bright, Walt Minnick, and Frank Kratovil. And then there are the incumbents facing off against the Reps they defeated -- Steve Driehaus and Harry Teague. There are a lot of potentially-vulnerable seats, including most of the rest of the 2008 seat-pickup freshmen.

In the Senate, the only really vulnerable incumbents right now are Dodd and Bunning. Bennet, Specter, Vitter and Burr are potentially vulnerable, depending on how the races play out.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2009, 06:04:11 AM »

How the HELL did Cao get elected?  LA-02 has a CPVI of D+25!  I'm not saying I'm not happy about it but I was just wondering.

     Because the Democrats ultimately refused to vote to re-elect their ultra-corrupt representative yet again.

Oh.  Kinda like the 1920 presidential election in NYC?  Harding actually won.

Or the Rostenkowski-Flanagan election in 1994. Cao was also helped by low turnout, as the election was held a month after the general, due to a hurricane delaying the primary. About 65,000 people voted, which is slightly less than the number that voted in the Democratic primary held in October, and nearly a third of the 160,000+ who voted in the primary that was held during the general election. Had the general election been held in November, Jefferson would have slimed his way back into office.
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