2010 house predictions

[Kaine for Senate '18]

I expect them to gain about 8-14 seats, so that will put them around 185.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

I think the GOP will pick up 10-15 seats, mostly from seats like MD-01 and ID-01.

I'm thinking seats like those, but the Dems still have some opportunities like PA-6, NJ-7, and the slam dunk LA-2.

Yeah, but there are mosre Districts like MD-01 than there are PA-06 or LA-02.  We really have to worry about seats like AL-02, ID-01, AL-05, etc.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

I don't care about those Alabama districts. The 'Democrats' who win there are Republicans, most of the time. Fools like Bobby Bright.

Bright's voting record hasn't been all that bad, actually.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Pelosi was able to let 44 democrats vote with the GOP on this bill and still get it to pass with a majority, and these 44 congressman don't have to worry about explaining their vote to their angry conservative constituents.

Exactly.  If we don't need their votes, why should we make them take the risk?  If we need their votes, we'll have them; there's no point in antagonizing their constituents unnecessarily, especially if they're only in their first or second terms.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

I expect them to gain about 8-14 seats, so that will put them around 185.

Jesus, I was way off.  Now I'd say they gain 40-45, putting them around 220-225.