California voter demographics by county

[Grad Students are the Worst]

How are you inferring the 15% Jewish figure for LA County again Alcon?  Well, I see that the white non Hispanic population for LA County in 2007 is 29%, so I guess I get the source numbers for your little equation.    Man,  how things have changed.  But I like LA a lot more now, than when I was a kid. And so it goes.

Well, since we have Hispanic and most Asians already, I just took the "Other" percentage and assumed a break-down based about on the '08 estimates for black, whites, the other Asian demographics and other ethnicities...well, it's rough.  But it's ballpark and I think it demonstrates the point well enough. 

A white person in Los Angeles probably knows at least twice as many Jews, on average, as a percent of their social group, as one in Marin.  Or so goes my theory.

[Senator Sbane]

Jews in lightly populated conservative counties where they are few in number percentage wise as well, would seem to have blended in, haven't they? Granted the sample error is large for such a small one, but so far, it seems to be a consistent pattern. I guess the real test will be when we see what the Jewish numbers are in Orange County, which has about 150,000 Jews.

The Jewish numbers in Kern County are pretty extraordinary. Maybe they are Jews 4 Jesus?

I am skeptical of these numbers. They claim that all these "hick" counties are 3-4% jewish while marin having far higher % than LA. These numbers are way off.

The self-provided voter identifications are wrong?  How? 

I mean, Los Angeles County passed Proposition 8.  Obviously, it's not all WASPs and Jews.  Marin having the highest percentage of Jews seems very reasonable to me.  It's an almost uniformly affluent county.  LA County ain't.

Unless I fundamentally misunderstand how they collected this information, I don't know how they could possibly be off.  Jews in L.A. lie more?  "Everyone in L.A. lies more!"

Edit: That or the ethnic abbreviation "jew" stands for something other than Jews.  I still have no idea why CA would track Jews but not blacks.  Mysteries all-around.

I HAVE BEEN UP IN MARIN AND LIVED IN THE IN LA MOST MY LIFE AND COULDN'T NOTICE IT UNLESS THEY ARE A LOT BETTER ASSIMILATED THAN THE ONCES IN LA. I STILL THINK THE NUMBERS FOR A LOT OF COUNTIES ARE WAY EXAGGERATED.

I am pretty sure you don't mix with blacks, hispanics and asians who make up the vast majority of the population of LA county. So among the people you do interact with, Jews make up a significant part of the population (this is assuming most jews are white and I think that assumption is reasonable to make). Also Marin county is a mostly white, rich and liberal place just north of the city. Why is it surprising if 8% of them are jews?

[Torie]

Alcon where are you getting all of this fascinating data from?  Thanks.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

My source is this gem which I've only recently become familiar with:

http://swdb.berkeley.edu/d00/index.html

More counties coming today and tomorrow.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Mendocino
President: 69-27 Obama
Proposition Eight: 37-63 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 47%, Republican 23%, DTS 20%

Males (48%): Democratic 42%, Republican 25%, DTS 22%
Females (52%): Democratic 52%, Republican 21%, DTS 19%

18-34 (19%): Democratic 38%, Republican 16%, DTS 33%
35-54 (32%): Democratic 43%, Republican 23%, DTS 23%
55+ (49%): Democratic 54%, Republican 26%, DTS 14%

Hispanic (7%): Democratic 56%, Republican 12%, DTS 24%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 51%, Republican 18%, DTS 21%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): Democratic 48%, Republican 16%, DTS 28%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 36%, Republican 16%, DTS 40%
Indian (0%): Democratic 40%, Republican 30%, DTS 20%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (1%): Democratic 46%, Republican 22%, DTS 22%
Other (88%): Democratic 47%, Republican 25%, DTS 20%

Merced
President: 53-45 Obama
Proposition Eight: 71-29 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 46%, Republican 38%, DTS 13%

Males (47%): Democratic 45%, Republican 39%, DTS 13%
Females (53%): Democratic 47%, Republican 37%, DTS 13%

18-34 (29%): Democratic 40%, Republican 37%, DTS 18%
35-54 (36%): Democratic 43%, Republican 40%, DTS 13%
55+ (35%): Democratic 53%, Republican 36%, DTS 9%

Hispanic (34%): Democratic 58%, Republican 26%, DTS 14%
Jewish (2%): Democratic 34%, Republican 50%, DTS 13%
Korean (0%): Democratic 36%, Republican 34%, DTS 25%
Japanese (0%): Democratic 50%, Republican 41%, DTS 8%
Chinese (1%): Democratic 34%, Republican 37%, DTS 26%
Indian (1%): Democratic 57%, Republican 24%, DTS 16%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 35%, Republican 35%, DTS 26%
Filipino (2%): Democratic 46%, Republican 37%, DTS 15%
Other (60%): Democratic 39%, Republican 44%, DTS 13%

Modoc
President: 30-67 McCain
Proposition Eight: 74-26 Yes

No data available at this time.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

I still don't really understand why Mono County is so male.

Mono
President: 56-42 Obama
Proposition Eight: 44-56 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 33%, Republican 37%, DTS 25%

Males (58%): Democratic 29%, Republican 37%, DTS 27%
Females (42%): Democratic 38%, Republican 37%, DTS 22%

18-34 (21%): Democratic 29%, Republican 25%, DTS 38%
35-54 (38%): Democratic 32%, Republican 35%, DTS 26%
55+ (40%): Democratic 36%, Republican 45%, DTS 16%

Hispanic (6%): Democratic 43%, Republican 24%, DTS 27%
Jewish (5%): Democratic 40%, Republican 30%, DTS 24%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): Democratic 50%, Republican 15%, DTS 26%
Chinese (0%): ***
Indian (0%): ***
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (0%): ***
Other (88%): Democratic 32%, Republican 39%, DTS 24%

Monterey
President: 68-30 Obama
Proposition Eight: 48-52 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 50%, Republican 28%, DTS 18%

Males (47%): Democratic 47%, Republican 30%, DTS 20%
Females (53%): Democratic 53%, Republican 26%, DTS 17%

18-34 (24%): Democratic 49%, Republican 19%, DTS 27%
35-54 (34%): Democratic 49%, Republican 27%, DTS 19%
55+ (42%): Democratic 52%, Republican 33%, DTS 13%

Hispanic (29%): Democratic 66%, Republican 14%, DTS 17%
Jewish (3%): Democratic 47%, Republican 29%, DTS 20%
Korean (0%): Democratic 38%, Republican 22%, DTS 36%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 46%, Republican 33%, DTS 18%
Chinese (1%): Democratic 39%, Republican 26%, DTS 33%
Indian (1%): Democratic 50%, Republican 20%, DTS 29%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 32%, Republican 27%, DTS 36%
Filipino (2%): Democratic 51%, Republican 25%, DTS 21%
Other (63%): Democratic 43%, Republican 34%, DTS 18%

Napa
President: 65-33 Obama
Proposition Eight: 44-56 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 48%, Republican 29%, DTS 19%

Males (48%): Democratic 43%, Republican 31%, DTS 21%
Females (52%): Democratic 52%, Republican 27%, DTS 17%

18-34 (21%): Democratic 48%, Republican 18%, DTS 31%
35-54 (34%): Democratic 46%, Republican 28%, DTS 20%
55+ (45%): Democratic 51%, Republican 24%, DTS 12%

Hispanic (13%): Democratic 63%, Republican 13%, DTS 21%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 50%, Republican 27%, DTS 17%
Korean (0%): Democratic 36%, Republican 25%, DTS 34%
Japanese (0%): Democratic 46%, Republican 31%, DTS 22%
Chinese (1%): Democratic 41%, Republican 27%, DTS 29%
Indian (0%): Democratic 60%, Republican 14%, DTS 21%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 51%, Republican 20%, DTS 28%
Filipino (2%): Democratic 46%, Republican 24%, DTS 28%
Other (80%): Democratic 45%, Republican 31%, DTS 18%

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Orange County Jews are plurality GOP.  Huh.

Nevada
President: 51-46 Obama
Proposition Eight: 50-50 Yes (by three votes)

All voters (100%): Democratic 34%, Republican 41%, DTS 19%

Males (48%): Democratic 29%, Republican 43%, DTS 21%
Females (52%): Democratic 39%, Republican 39%, DTS 17%

18-34 (17%): Democratic 28%, Republican 29%, DTS 33%
35-54 (32%): Democratic 32%, Republican 38%, DTS 22%
55+ (51%): Democratic 37%, Republican 46%, DTS 4%

Hispanic (3%): Democratic 42%, Republican 29%, DTS 22%
Jewish (5%): Democratic 39%, Republican 36%, DTS 19%
Korean (0%): Democratic 51%, Republican 33%, DTS 10%
Japanese (0%): Democratic 40%, Republican 29%, DTS 22%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 41%, Republican 34%, DTS 19%
Indian (0%): Democratic 43%, Republican 32%, DTS 20%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (0%): Democratic 44%, Republican 31%, DTS 19%
Other (91%): Democratic 33%, Republican 41%, DTS 19%

Orange
President: 48-50 McCain
Proposition Eight: 58-42 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 32%, Republican 44%, DTS 20%

Males (50%): Democratic 29%, Republican 45%, DTS 21%
Females (50%): Democratic 35%, Republican 43%, DTS 19%

18-34 (26%): Democratic 31%, Republican 34%, DTS 29%
35-54 (38%): Democratic 30%, Republican 46%, DTS 20%
55+ (35%): Democratic 35%, Republican 50%, DTS 13%

Hispanic (16%): Democratic 50%, Republican 27%, DTS 20%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 35%, Republican 44%, DTS 18%
Korean (1%): Democratic 31%, Republican 35%, DTS 32%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 33%, Republican 41%, DTS 23%
Chinese (2%): Democratic 24%, Republican 33%, DTS 41%
Indian (1%): Democratic 45%, Republican 21%, DTS 32%
Vietnamese (5%): Democratic 26%, Republican 43%, DTS 27%
Filipino (1%): Democratic 35%, Republican 35%, DTS 26%
Other (68%): Democratic 28%, Republicn 50%, DTS 18%

Placer
President: 43-54 McCain
Proposition Eight: 60-40 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 30%, Republican 49%, DTS 18%

Males (48%): Democratic 25%, Republican 52%, DTS 19%
Females (52%): Democratic 34%, Republican 46%, DTS 17%

18-34 (22%): Democratic 24%, Republican 40%, DTS 30%
35-54 (37%): Democratic 26%, Republican 52%, DTS 18%
55+ (41%): Democratic 36%, Republican 50%, DTS 12%

Hispanic (7%): Democratic 44%, Republican 32%, DTS 21%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 31%, Republican 48%, DTS 17%
Korean (0%): Democratic 29%, Republican 35%, DTS 34%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 42%, Republican 37%, DTS 19%
Chinese (1%): Democratic 31%, Republican 37%, DTS 30%
Indian (1%): Democratic 46%, Republican 23%, DTS 29%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 28%, Republican 38%, DTS 31%
Filipino (1%): Democratic 35%, Republican 37%, DTS 25%
Other (86%): Democratic 28%, Republican 50%, DTS 18%

[Verily]

Mendecino
President: 69-27 Obama
Proposition Eight: 37-63 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 47%, Republican 23%, DTS 20%

Okay, I know it's pothead country, but are a full 10% of Mendocino voters really registered Green/Peace and Freedom/Libertarian/etc.?

Also %Obama > %Democratic + %DTS...

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Verily:  8.71%, actually, but rounding just worked out that way.  The reason:  Just over 4% of Mendocino County voters belong to the Natural Law Party.  I don't want to spend bandwidth to download the state file again, but offhand that's over eight times the rate of NLP registration in Orange County.

Obama also beat Democratic+DTS in Marin County, less surprisingly.  His performance in Mendocino versus registration is pretty impressive for a less affluent county though, even if I imagine nearly all of the non-wasted NLP vote (edit: no pun intended) flowed to him.

[Torie]

Well per OC, the Jewish chameleon theory in California anyway is still holding more or less, which surprises me.

[phk]

Well per OC, the Jewish chameleon theory in California anyway is still holding more or less, which surprises me.

OC Jews seem to be the type that may have been apart of the national Jewish GOP trend since 1992 (10% to 25%).

Maybe the real test will come when San Diego County comes in.

[Holmes]

Are you ever gonna get to Santa Cruz, Alcon?

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Machine's in the shop, will chug along to it eventually.

[phk]

How many more counties left?

[cannonia]

How many more counties left?

Given that it's an alphabetical list, 27.

Plumas, Riverside, Sacramento, San Benito, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Francisco, San Joaquin, San Luis Obispo, San Mateo, Santa Barbara, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, Shasta, Sierra, Siskiyou, Solano, Sonoma, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehama, Trinity, Tulare, Tuolumne, Ventura, Yolo, and Yuba.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

The computer that had the Excel spreadsheet I wrote to automate this got broken.  I'm not sure I'll have time to recreate it for a while, but I have off until 1/18 so we'll see.

[Bo]

Alcon, you're doing such a great job with this. Keep it up. You rule!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Χahar]

Bump. I was making a map, but now I've had to stop.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Anyone can do it!  It's easy, I swear

[Χahar]

Anyone can do it!  It's easy, I swear

Too many links. I can't tell what to click.