Will there ever be a Republican landslide again?
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 15 Down, 35 To Go)
  Will there ever be a Republican landslide again?
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Question: ?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Total Voters: 61

Author Topic: Will there ever be a Republican landslide again?  (Read 16536 times)
opebo
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« Reply #25 on: October 10, 2004, 07:06:32 PM »

Jeb won't run in '08. I wouldn't be surprised to see him run for U.S. senator in 2006, though.

And like I said, I think it is perfectly plausible for Jeb to run for the GOP nomination in 2008.  After all, who else is there?  Sure, folks mention Guliani, but does anybody actually expect him to get any religious conservatives behind him?  He'll go in with big fanfare, and come out with very little.

Yeah, the christian right has complete control of who gets through the GOP presidential primary process.
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A18
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« Reply #26 on: October 10, 2004, 07:09:27 PM »

Giuliani and Bush are not the only two Republicans in existance.
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Matusleo
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« Reply #27 on: October 10, 2004, 07:22:20 PM »

Giuliani and Bush are not the only two Republicans in existance.

True.  Any other GOPers who could likely run for President though?  The GOP doesn't tend to nominate people who aren't front and center.
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A18
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« Reply #28 on: October 10, 2004, 07:24:35 PM »

Any two-term governor would have a decent shot.
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Matusleo
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« Reply #29 on: October 10, 2004, 07:34:13 PM »

Any two-term governor would have a decent shot.

And I expect we'll see quite a few of them run, but the GOP always plays favourites.  And if Jeb Bush is running, he'll be the favourite, and you know it.
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A18
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« Reply #30 on: October 10, 2004, 07:40:29 PM »

GOP voters will be sick of the Bush family by then.
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opebo
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« Reply #31 on: October 10, 2004, 07:44:28 PM »

Is Jeb a 'Born Again' too?
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A18
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« Reply #32 on: October 10, 2004, 07:45:36 PM »

He's a Christian, yes
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Matusleo
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« Reply #33 on: October 10, 2004, 07:48:42 PM »

GOP voters will be sick of the Bush family by then.

I'm sick of the Bush family now, but I guess I don't count as a GOP voter. ;-)
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Nation
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« Reply #34 on: October 10, 2004, 07:54:55 PM »

Possible candidates for the GOP...


For the very conservative, Bill Frist may run.

For the conservative, Bill Owens has been getting a lot of press.

For the moderate, former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson could run and make it interesting. Mitt Romney could also run, or Pataki (who has actually hinted at running).

_________________________

For the very liberal, Dean is the only guy right now I think that may want to run again.

For the liberal,  Edwards seems to be the #1 choice right now. Hillary won't get the nomination.

For the moderate, Bill Richardson and Mark Warner are two potential candidates.
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Redefeatbush04
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« Reply #35 on: October 10, 2004, 09:31:55 PM »

Bill O'Reilly?
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #36 on: October 10, 2004, 10:02:42 PM »

Jeb's a "Catholic", although I suspect that may be the case only to help with the Hispanic voters.
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Redefeatbush04
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« Reply #37 on: October 11, 2004, 10:34:35 AM »

I like Jeb.....but I am sick of the Bush family
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??????????
StatesRights
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« Reply #38 on: October 11, 2004, 11:59:15 AM »

Jeb's a "Catholic", although I suspect that may be the case only to help with the Hispanic voters.

Um BRTD Jebs wife is hispanic. Or have you forgotten?
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #39 on: October 11, 2004, 02:44:39 PM »

No, because Republicans as they currently are, will never win the big states of CA, IL, and NY.  Nor will they win MD or RI or HI.  Hell, I don't see a republican winning Jersey for a long itme.  They add up to nearly 150 EVs.  I doubt will ever seen another Reagan landslide. 
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StatesRights
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« Reply #40 on: October 11, 2004, 03:40:17 PM »

No, because Republicans as they currently are, will never win the big states of CA, IL, and NY.  Nor will they win MD or RI or HI.  Hell, I don't see a republican winning Jersey for a long itme.  They add up to nearly 150 EVs.  I doubt will ever seen another Reagan landslide. 

And 80 years ago I would have said, "I can never see Republicans winning any southern state."
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J-Mann
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« Reply #41 on: October 13, 2004, 01:37:58 AM »

Jeb's a "Catholic", although I suspect that may be the case only to help with the Hispanic voters.

No, he's a convert because his wife is a Catholic.  She's the only "Hispanic voter" that had anything to do with his conversion.  That's ridiculous to claim that he did it for the votes.
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TomC
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« Reply #42 on: October 14, 2004, 05:34:27 PM »

The South is staying Republican for several generations, as is the smallest of the western states. The GOP will certainly see a landslide like Bush against Dukakis, 40 states. The Christian Conservatives would really have to swallow their convictions to nominate the kind of Repub that could win the "Dukakis states." Of course, if we ever nominate a candidate as weak as Mondale again, we deserve to lose in a landslide.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #43 on: October 15, 2004, 05:47:26 AM »

Depends on your definition...the current polarization makes a 49 state landslide unlikely, but a 40 state one is pretty likely. Also, CA can be won by a Republican I think.

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No more McShame
FuturePrez R-AZ
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« Reply #44 on: October 16, 2004, 01:34:03 AM »

Anything can happen in a generation.  California voted pretty consitently Republican until the 90s.  The South voted Democrat until the 60s.

As for 2008, I don't see Jeb Bush winning the nomination.  Natural American reflex against monarchy.  Giuliani, Pataki, and Romney are too liberal on social issues to have a shot at the nomination.  McCain may be too old even though he does seem healthy right now.  I could see someone like Gov. Owens winning the nomination.  Can he run for a 3rd term or is he term-limited?
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