FIRST!

[King]

Yeah!

[Jayhawker]

2nd!
And I'll actually make a useful post!
When will be able to start making predictions, Dave?

My guess for 2010:
Big Republican gains.


Unsure on Wyoming, as I don't really know about Freudenthal, and if he is running for re-election, or if he can.

[Holmes]

Rhode Island going Republican = end of the world

[Jayhawker]

Rhode Island going Republican = end of the world

That was a mistake. As I was filling it out, I was thinking "Oh, Rhode Island will flip." So I switched Rhode Island from Democrat to Republican.
Rhode Island should be Democrat.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

2nd!
And I'll actually make a useful post!
When will be able to start making predictions, Dave?

My guess for 2010:
Big Republican gains.


Unsure on Wyoming, as I don't really know about Freudenthal, and if he is running for re-election, or if he can.

**Rhode Island should be Democrat**

You can change the color of the state.

[Hashemite]

WY on the assumption that Freudenthal runs again. TN, SC, AZ I have no idea about.

[OC]

Most vulnerable: PA, OH, MI, OR, CO

[DownWithTheLeft]

R: +9, -3
D: +2, -10
I: +2, -0

Net:
R +6
I: +2
D: -8

[OC]

The Dems aren't going to lose more than 4 seats I see the Dems losing the majority of governorships 26-24.  I think OR, MI, OH, CO, KS, WY, TN, are the most to lose right now.

Deval Patrick will survive, Dan Hynes will replace Pat Quinn, and Doyle is running about even.  The states up for grabs right now are Strickland, PA, MI and MN and NV and ME.

[Lief]

Dem: -2
Rep: +0
Ind: +2

A lot of tossups though. 2010 could see a lot of Governships switch parties, with over twenty states possibly competitive.

[CARLHAYDEN]

Rhode Island going Republican = end of the world

First, the current Governor of Rhode Island is Don Carcieri (R)

Second, the favored candidate (at this time) is Lincoln Chafee (Independent).

[OC]

I think the GOP can take CO or OH

[The Illinoisian]

Rhode Island going Republican = end of the world

Federally yes, but by 2010 RI will have had a GOP Governor for 21 of the last 25 years.  Though I do believe it will go Democrat in 2010

[Lief]

D: -2
I: +1
R: +1

[N.i.K.]

D: -2
I: +1
R: +1

Accident on Arizona?

[pogo stick]

GOP Gains :

New York
Wisconsin
Michigan
Ohio
Tennessee


Dem Pick ups :

California
Nevada
Vermont
Connecticut (Have a feeling Rell will retire)
Arizona (If Brewer is GOP Nominee)

[CARLHAYDEN]

GOP Gains :

New York
Wisconsin
Michigan
Ohio
Tennessee


Dem Pick ups :


California
Nevada
Vermont
Connecticut (Have a feeling Rell will retire)
Arizona (If Brewer is GOP Nominee)

Brewer couldn't beat a gila monster in the Republican primary!

Her mantra of "more taxes, higher taxes, more government spending" isn't going over very well.

[nhmagic]

Brewer goes down if she is the nominee, but I'm worried about all of the candidates on our side that are running.  None of them seem all that conservative - a conservative would win.  Goddard isn't a "for sure" nominee yet, and I think Phil Gordon will make a run which would end up creating a nasty and trashy primary between the two (Gordon is scum, and his scum-buddy republican Andrew Thomas is running for AG again).

We are going to pick up a net of 6 seats.  We lose NV, AZ, RI (Chafee picks up), FL (McCollum is a perennially weak candidate), CT (Rells retiring, however, one of the senate candidates could jump in should they lose the primary), HI - but we gain a lot more than we lose: WY, CO, KS, OK, IA (Culver is incredibly weak), WI (Doyle is incredibly weak), MI, TN, OH (Strickland is pretty weak), PA, MD (if Ehrlich runs), MA (you guys are crazy if you think Patrick will win)

We keep (of the tossups currently in Rep hands): VT (observers believe Lt. Gov Dubie is strong), MN, CA (unless Feinstein runs)

[CARLHAYDEN]

Brewer goes down if she is the nominee, but I'm worried about all of the candidates on our side that are running.  None of them seem all that conservative - a conservative would win.  Goddard isn't a "for sure" nominee yet, and I think Phil Gordon will make a run which would end up creating a nasty and trashy primary between the two (Gordon is scum, and his scum-buddy republican Andrew Thomas is running for AG again).

We are going to pick up a net of 6 seats.  We lose NV, AZ, RI (Chafee picks up), FL (McCollum is a perennially weak candidate), CT (Rells retiring, however, one of the senate candidates could jump in should they lose the primary), HI - but we gain a lot more than we lose: WY, CO, KS, OK, IA (Culver is incredibly weak), WI (Doyle is incredibly weak), MI, TN, OH (Strickland is pretty weak), PA, MD (if Ehrlich runs), MA (you guys are crazy if you think Patrick will win)

We keep (of the tossups currently in Rep hands): VT (observers believe Lt. Gov Dubie is strong), MN, CA (unless Feinstein runs)

Let me just limit my reply to Arizona.

With respect to Governor, I suspect that State Treasurer will be the nominee, and will overwhelmingly defeat Brewer in the primary, and Goddard in the general election.

I totally agree with you that Gordon is scum, and if he runs for the Democrat nomination for Governor, will be overwhelmingly defeated by Goddard.

It will be interesting to see of JD moves to takeout the slimebag from the liberal media.

Also, when in the hell will the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors ever get fumigated?  Those scumbags are so vile they actually make the Tucson City Council look half-way decent by comparison.