Brewer goes down if she is the nominee, but I'm worried about all of the candidates on our side that are running. None of them seem all that conservative - a conservative would win. Goddard isn't a "for sure" nominee yet, and I think Phil Gordon will make a run which would end up creating a nasty and trashy primary between the two (Gordon is scum, and his scum-buddy republican Andrew Thomas is running for AG again).
We are going to pick up a net of 6 seats. We lose NV, AZ, RI (Chafee picks up), FL (McCollum is a perennially weak candidate), CT (Rells retiring, however, one of the senate candidates could jump in should they lose the primary), HI - but we gain a lot more than we lose: WY, CO, KS, OK, IA (Culver is incredibly weak), WI (Doyle is incredibly weak), MI, TN, OH (Strickland is pretty weak), PA, MD (if Ehrlich runs), MA (you guys are crazy if you think Patrick will win)
We keep (of the tossups currently in Rep hands): VT (observers believe Lt. Gov Dubie is strong), MN, CA (unless Feinstein runs)
Let me just limit my reply to Arizona.
With respect to Governor, I suspect that State Treasurer will be the nominee, and will overwhelmingly defeat Brewer in the primary, and Goddard in the general election.
I totally agree with you that Gordon is scum, and if he runs for the Democrat nomination for Governor, will be overwhelmingly defeated by Goddard.
It will be interesting to see of JD moves to takeout the slimebag from the liberal media.
Also, when in the hell will the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors ever get fumigated? Those scumbags are so vile they actually make the Tucson City Council look half-way decent by comparison.
