Republicans gotta be kidding if they think the recession getting worse will allow them to make gains in 2010.
The Great Depression went far into FDR's tenure with little to no improvement and the Democrats managed to survive because they still were able to keep the blame on the GOP. This recession will still be seen as the effects of the Bush recession even if it's under Obama.
Also, when it comes to Congress, the incumbents--even during bad times and especially in the House--are almost always still favored because Americans have a tendency to believe that "it's the other Congressmen who are screwing up and not mine."
I agree.
But for the purposes of this scenario, I probably will have to go with this:
Warner. he's the moderate god.