Where are Republicans going to pick up the seats to get control of Congress? especially in the Senate where they would have to pick off a bunch of deep blue states.
The recession is bad enough to allow the Republicans to make large gains similar to that of the Democrat's gains in 2006. However, I agree that it would not give them the Senate. At the same time, it would be a rather narrow Democratic Majority, possibly 53-47. The House would be the reverse of today.
Also, Warner, Clinton, and Obama are practically tied.