10/10; Zogby+0, "Bot"+0; WP+1; 2nd debate tied; State "Bots"

[Pollwatch99]

Zogby:            Kerry 46 Bush 45 Nader 1 (no change)

Rasmussen :   10/10 Bush 49.5  Kerry 45.5   +4.0
  (aka "BOT")                      10/09 Bush 49.6 Kerry  45.9   +3.7
         Preciously Bush +0.3% but still Bush 50 Kerry 46
         
         Side note on Rasmussen poll of 2nd debate 1000LV
               Kerry 41% Bush 40% MOE 3%
               4% changed their minds 2% Bush 2% Kerry
               Tie as the other polls showed

WP    :             Bush 51 Kerry 46 Nader 1

States : with leaners(10 day rolling)
                 FL      Bush+4
                 OH     Bush+5
                 MN     Kerry+1
                 MI      Kerry+2
                 PA      Kerry+3                       

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

No change today in Rasmussen either, still 50-46 Bush.

[Reds4]

Approval in rasmussen sits at 54%   Looks like its gotten a little too GOP friendly maybe though with only a 1.6 point spread in the Congressional vote.

[Pollwatch99]

updated to include 2nd debate polling results

[Giant Saguaro]

Rasmussen for the time being seems to have leveled off. If Rasmussen weights 39-35 Dem to GOP, that's not bad in reference to the debate results.

I still thought Bush solidly won the thing, but as I said Friday morning on here, I think there is a larger margin of error for Kerry as far as voters see it, subconscious or not.

[Pollwatch99]

Rasmussen for the time being seems to have leveled off. If Rasmussen weights 39-35 Dem to GOP, that's not bad in reference to the debate results.

I still thought Bush solidly won the thing, but as I said Friday morning on here, I think there is a larger margin of error for Kerry as far as voters see it, subconscious or not.

Agree with you fully.  If we have similar debate results on Wednesday night, I'm not sure Kerry will have enough momentum to both close the gap and overtake Bush.   VP debates do matter; 1st Cheney and last debate Bush with no clear Kerry/Edwards advantage.  Another repeat performance kills any Kerry momentum totally with about 19 days left.  So, a tie is a win.  Of course, some major news event on the war on terrorism could be a last minute momentum builder.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Rasmussen for the time being seems to have leveled off. If Rasmussen weights 39-35 Dem to GOP, that's not bad in reference to the debate results.

I still thought Bush solidly won the thing, but as I said Friday morning on here, I think there is a larger margin of error for Kerry as far as voters see it, subconscious or not.

Agree with you fully.  If we have similar debate results on Wednesday night, I'm not sure Kerry will have enough momentum to both close the gap and overtake Bush.   VP debates do matter; 1st Cheney and last debate Bush with no clear Kerry/Edwards advantage.  Another repeat performance kills any Kerry momentum totally with about 19 days left.  So, a tie is a win.  Of course, some major news event on the war on terrorism could be a last minute momentum builder.

Close what gap?
Ohio is a total tossup.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Bush gained 1% in the WP tracker.  Now 51-46.

[Pollwatch99]

daily bot's added

[Reds4]

This is a gain for Kerry in FL correct, if Bush is only up 4? And a gain for Bush in Ohio? A little odd, but hey its the bot. Michigan isnt that close either.