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Source: Field Research Corporation (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DJerry Brown*Democratic54%piePoll Date: 2014-10-28
RNeel KashkariRepublican33%Number Polled: 941
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 3%
-Undecided-13%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Brown with Solid Lead in California

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2014-10-30 @ 06:33:50

Question:
In the election for Governor, businessman Neel Kashkari, Republican, is running against Governor Jerry Brown, Democrat. (IF LIKELY TO VOTE) If the election were being held today, for whom would you vote for Governor – Republican Neel Kashkari or Democrat Jerry Brown? (IF ALREADY VOTED) For whom did you vote in this year’s election for Governor – Republican Neel Kashkari or Democrat Jerry Brown?

About this Poll
The findings in this report are based on a Field Poll completed October 15-28, 2014 among 1,536 registered voters in California, 941 of whom are considered likely to vote in the November 2014 general election. Interviews were administered by telephone using live interviewers in English and Spanish.

Individual voters were sampled at random from listings derived from the statewide voter registration rolls. Once a voter’s name and telephone number had been selected, interviews were attempted with voters on their landline or cell phone depending on the source of the listing from the voter file and the preference of the voter. Up to six attempts were made to reach, screen and interview each randomly selected voter on different days and times of day during the interviewing period. After the completion of interviewing, the sample was weighted to demographic, geographic and party registration characteristics of the state's overall registered voter population.

Sampling error estimates applicable to the results of any probability-based survey depend on sample size and the percentage distributions being examined. The maximum sampling error for results from the likely voter sample is +/- 3.4 percentage points. These estimates are based on survey findings in the middle of the sampling distribution (i.e., results at or near 50%). Percentages at or near either end of the tail of the distributions (i.e., results closer to 10% or 90%) have somewhat smaller margins of error. There are other potential sources of error in surveys of public opinion besides sampling error. However, the overall design and execution of this survey sought to minimize these other possible errors.

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