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Source: Eagleton-Rutgers (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DObamaDemocratic58%piePoll Date: 2012-03-27
RRomneyRepublican31%Number Polled: 518
-Other-3%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-9%Voter Type: Registered

Obama with a 27% Lead

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) on 2012-04-11 @ 13:19:23

Question:
Q If the candidates for president in November are [ROTATE ORDER: Democrat Barack Obama and
Republican Mitt Romney] will you vote for [SAME ORDER: Obama or Romney] for president?
March 12
RV
Feb 12
RV
Obama 58% 56%
Romney 31% 31%
Som Else 1% 2%
Not Vote 2% 1%
DK 9% 9%
Unwgt N= 507 908

Poll Demographics
Weighted Sample Characteristics
518 New Jersey Registered Voters
39% Democrat 48% Male 16% 18-29 66% White
40% Independent 52% Female 36% 30-49 13% Black
21% Republican 28% 50-64 7% Hispanic
20% 65+ 14% Asian/Other/Multi

About this Poll
The Rutgers-Eagleton Poll was conducted by telephone from March 21-27, 2012 with a scientifically selected random sample
of 601 New Jersey adults, including a subsample of 518 registered voters. Data are weighted to represent known parameters
in the New Jersey population, using gender, age, race, and Hispanic ethnicity matching to 2010 US Census Bureau data. All
results are reported with these weighted data. This telephone poll included 493 landline respondents and 108 cell phone
respondents, all acquired through random digit dialing.
All surveys are subject to sampling error, which is the expected probable difference between interviewing everyone in a
population versus a scientific sampling drawn from that population. The sampling error for 601adults is +/-4.0 percentage
points, at a 95 percent confidence interval. Thus if 50 percent of New Jersey voters favored a particular position, one would
be 95 percent sure that the true figure would be between 46.0 and 54.0 percent (50 +/-4.0) had all New Jersey adults been
interviewed, rather than just a sample. The sample of Registered Voters has a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points.
Sampling error increases as the sample size decreases, so statements based on various population subgroups are subject to
more error than are statements based on the total sample. Sampling error does not take into account other sources of variation
inherent in public opinion studies, such as non-response, question wording or context effects.
This Rutgers-Eagleton Poll was fielded in house by the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling. The questionnaire was
developed and all data analyses were completed in house. The Rutgers-Eagleton Poll is paid for and sponsored by the
Eagleton Institute of Politics, Rutgers University, a non-partisan academic center focused on the study and teaching of
politics and the political process.

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