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Source: Columbus Dispatch (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DObamaDemocratic51%piePoll Date: 2012-09-29
RRomneyRepublican42%Number Polled: 1,643
-Other-3%Margin of Error: 2%
-Undecided-5%Voter Type: Likely

Obama Opens up Lead in Ohio

 By: leip (--MA) on 2012-09-30 @ 09:42:32

Question:

About this Poll
The Dispatch Poll was based on returns from 1,662 registered Ohio voters who said they intend to vote in the 2012 general election. Dates: Sept 19 - Sept 29.

The Dispatch obtained a computerized list of all registered voters in Ohio from the secretary of state. Those who had not voted since 2007 were eliminated. A Dispatch computer then randomly chose who would receive ballots.

Ballot recipients were asked to describe themselves by party affiliation, age, sex, race, education, income, religion, union membership and the candidates they voted for in the 2008 presidential race and 2010 gubernatorial election.

Ballots of different colors were mailed to various regions of the state so The Dispatch could ensure that each area was represented in proportion to its actual voting strength. The results were not weighted.

The standard margin of sampling error in a poll of the size conducted by The Dispatch is plus or minus 2.2 percentage points in 95 out of 100 cases. This means that if a poll is conducted 100times, the result in 95 cases will not vary by more than 2.2percentage points from the result that would be obtained if all registered Ohio voters were polled and responded.

Like all polls, the Dispatch Poll is subject to possible error other than sampling error. Other sources of error include unintentional bias in the wording of questions, data-entry error and nonresponse bias. Nonresponse bias means that those who responded might not necessarily reflect the views of those who did not participate. The response rate for this poll was 15 percent.

The poll was designed, conducted and financed solely by The Dispatch.

View All Ohio Polls

Poll Technical Comments

 By: Oldiesfreak1854 (R-MI) - 2012-10-01 @ 19:52:42

This poll probably oversampled Democrats. Obama may be leading in Ohio, but not by this much.preciction Map

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