Question:
If the presidential election was held today and you had to decide right now, would you vote for [ROTATE FIRST FOUR]
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 45%
Donald Trump, the Republican 38%
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian 5%
Jill Stein, the Green Party 2%
Evan McMullin, the Independent 1%
Unsure [VOLUNTERED ONLY] 9%

About this Poll
Interviewing for The Roanoke College Poll was conducted by The Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College in Salem, Va. between October 29 and November 1, 2016. A total of 654 likely voters in Virginia were interviewed. Telephone interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. The random digit dial sample was obtained from ASDE Survey Sampler and includes both Virginia landline and cellphone exchanges so that all cell phone and residential landline telephone numbers, including unlisted numbers from Virginia exchanges, had a known chance of inclusion. Cellphones constituted 38 percent of the completed interviews.

Questions answered by the entire sample of 654 likely voters are subject to a sampling error of plus or minus approximately 3.8 percent at the 95 percent level of confidence. This means that in 95 out of 100 samples like the one used here, the results obtained should be no more than 3.8 percentage points above or below the figure that would be obtained by interviewing all likely voters in Virginia who have a home telephone or a cell phone. Where the results of subgroups are reported, the sampling error is higher.

Quotas were used to ensure that different regions of the Commonwealth were proportionately represented. The data were statistically weighted for gender, race, age, and political party. Weighting was done to match the demographic groups' representation in the 2012 Virginia exit poll. The margin of error was not adjusted for design effects due to weighting.