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Source: Christopher Newport University (url)
|Candidate||Political Party||Poll||Graph||Poll Details|
|Clinton||Democratic||48%||Poll Date: 2016-11-06|
|Trump||Republican||42%||Number Polled: 1,193|
|McMullin||Independent||2%||Margin of Error: 4%|
|Other||-||3%||Voter Type: Likely|
Clinton up six
By: Ryne (I-WA) on 2016-11-07 @ 13:32:50
If the election for president were held TODAY and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE: “Hillary Clinton the Democrat,”, “Donald Trump the Republican”, “Gary Johnson the Libertarian”, “Jill Stein the Green”, or “Evan McMullin the Independent”], for whom would you vote?
* If voter said undecided/none/don’t know or refused, they were prompted up to two times to say if they were leaning toward a candidate.
** Projected vote after allocating undecided voters to candidates based upon the proportion of vote candidates are receiving from decided voters.
About this Poll
The results of this poll are based on 1,193 interviews of likely Virginia voters, including 489 on landline and 704 on cell phone, conducted Nov. 1-6, 2016. Percentages may not equal 100 due to rounding. The margin of error for the whole survey is +/- 3.6 % at the 95% level of confidence. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which is 1.6 in this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Sub samples have a higher margin of error. In addition to sampling error, the other potential sources of error include non-response, question wording, and interviewer error. The response rate (AAPOR RRI Standard Definition) for the survey was 23%. Five callbacks were employed in the fielding process. Live calling was conducted by trained interviewers at the Wason Center for Public Policy Survey Research Lab at Christopher Newport University. The data reported here are weighted using an iterative weighting process on sex, age, race and region of residence to reflect as closely as possible the demographic composition of likely 2016 voters in Virginia.
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