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Source: Eagleton-Rutgers (url)
* = Incumbent Menendez (D) with Slight Lead over Kean (R) in New Jersey By: leip (I-NY) - 2006-05-09 @ 11:53:28 Question: If the election for the U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote (ROTATE) Robert Menendez, the Democrat, Tom Kean Jr., the Republican, or some other candidate for Senate? Menendez: 40% Kean Jr. 35% Some Other 2% Wouldn't Vote 3% Don't Know/Refused/Undecided 20% Poll Demographics Republicans: 162 Democrats: 241 Independents: 210 Male: 328 Female: 348 White: 534 Non-White: 113 Region: North: 276 Central: 197 South: 183 About this Poll The latest Rutgers-Eagleton Poll was conducted from March 26 to 30 with a scientifically selected random sample of 800 New Jersey adults. This sample yielded 676 adult residents registered to vote in New Jersey. Most of the figures in this release are based on the statewide sample of all adults. All surveys are subject to sampling error, which is the expected probable difference between interviewing everyone in a population versus a scientific sampling drawn from that population. The sampling error for 800 adults is + 3.5 percent, at a 95 percent confidence interval. Thus if 50 percent of New Jersey adults were found to have a favorable opinion of a senatorial candidate, one would be 95 percent sure that the true figure would be between 47.5 and 53.5 percent (50 + 3.5) had all New Jersey adults been interviewed, rather than just a sample. The sampling error for 676 registered voters is + 3.8 percent. Sampling error increases as the sample size decreases, so statements based on various population subgroups are subject to more error than are statements based on the total sample. The following chart shows the relationship between sample size and sampling error. Login to Post Comments Forum Thread for this Poll |
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