Election 2006 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

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Source: Survey USA (url)

Candidate		Political Party	Poll	Graph	Poll Details
	Webb	Democratic	52%		Poll Date: 2006-11-05
	Allen*	Republican	44%		Number Polled: 741
	Parker	Independent Green	2%		Margin of Error: 4%
	Undecided	-	1%		Voter Type: Likely

* = Incumbent

Webb(D) ahead of Allen(R) by 8 pts

By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-11-06 @ 13:31:29

Question: If the election for United States Senator were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican George Allen? Democrat Jim Webb? Independent Green Gail Parker Or some other candidate?

Jim Webb (D) 52%
George Allen (R) 44%
Gail Parker (G) 2%
Undecided 1%

About this Poll 1,000 Virginia adults were interviewed 11/3/06 through 11/5/06. Of them, 840 were registered to vote. Of them, 741 were judged to be "likely" voters. The margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.7%.

View All Virginia Polls

Poll Technical Comments

By: Vorlon (L-AB) - 2006-11-06 @ 22:31:47

A generic comment about Survey USA polls, it aplies in Virginia, but also other places.

Survey USA's screening is based on 741 "likely voters" out of a sample of 1000.

A turnout rate of thus 74.1%

In 2004 the turnout for the Presidential race in Virginia was (going from memory here) +/- 57% or so.

Midterm turnout is historically much lower than Predidential years, so the 74.1%turnout assumtion is just plain wrong.

How wrong is debateable, but certainly it introduces a substantial uncertainty into this poll.

By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-11-07 @ 11:47:05

Usually Survey USA gets it right but this is iffy, their other polls seem right.

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