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Source: Research 2000 (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RMcConnell*Republican50%piePoll Date: 2008-09-17
DLunsfordDemocratic37%Number Polled: 600
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-13%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

McConnell (R) Up to a 13% Lead in KY

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2008-09-20 @ 00:58:44

Question:
QUESTION: If the election for U.S. Senate were held today would you vote for Bruce Lunsford the Democrat or Mitch McConnell the Republican?

MCCONNELL LUNSFORD UNDECIDED

ALL 50% 37% 13%

MEN 54% 34% 12%
WOMEN 46% 40% 14%

DEMOCRATS 19% 65% 16%
REPUBLICANS 87% 5% 8%
INDEPENDENTS 52% 36% 12%

WHITE 57% 33% 10%
BLACK 6% 68% 26%
OTHER 6% 62% 32%

18-29 46% 43% 11%
30-44 54% 33% 13%
45-59 48% 38% 14%
60+ 56% 30% 14%

DISTRICT 1 52% 36% 12%
DISTRICT 2 55% 33% 12%
DISTRICT 3 41% 47% 12%
DISTRICT 4 54% 32% 14%
DISTRICT 5 52% 35% 13%
DISTRICT 6 50% 36% 14%

Poll Demographics
SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men 288 (48%)
Women 312 (52%)

Democrats 274 (46%)
Republicans 228 (38%)
Other 98 (16%)

18-29 100 (17%)
30-44 194 (32%)
45-59 192 (32%)
60+ 114 (19%)

White 527 (88%)
Black 52 (9%)
Other 21 (3%)

About this Poll
The Research 2000 Kentucky Poll was conducted from September 15 through September 17, 2008. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.

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