PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Election Polls - OR ResultsPolls
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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DRonald L. Wyden*Democratic57%piePoll Date: 2010-10-28
RJames L. HuffmanRepublican32%Number Polled: 580
-Other-2%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-9%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Wyden (D) leads by 25

 By: Mark Warner 08 (G-AUT) on 2010-10-30 @ 12:51:17

Question:

Poll Demographics

About this Poll

Filtering: Using both RDD landline and cellphone sample from Survey Sampling, SurveyUSA interviewed 800 Oregon adults 10/23/10 through 10/28/10. Cellphones were hand-dialed. Of the adults, 673 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 580 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election. Oregon conducts its elections entirely by mail; ballots were mailed to voters 10/15/10. "CPO" = Cell Phone Only, respondents who do not have a home phone and who make and receive phone calls with a cell phone. "Both" = respondents who have both a cell phone and a home phone but for this survey were interviewed on their cell phone by a live operator who dialed the call by hand. "Home Phone" = respondents who were interviewed on their home phone with the recorded-voice of a professional announcer. 26% of the likely voters interviewed for this survey were contacted and interviewed entirely by live operator, 74% of likely voters were contacted and interviewed using recorded voice. CPO respondents account for 13% of likely voters. CPO voters are the least predictable to pollsters. If CPO voters turn-out in smaller numbers than here shown, Democrats will under-perform these numbers, Republicans will out-perform these numbers. Other pollsters show the gubernatorial contest closer than SurveyUSA; some show the Republican ahead. None, to SurveyUSA's knowledge, have included cell phones in their sample.

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