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Source: Ipsos (url)
|Candidate||Political Party||Poll||Graph||Poll Details|
|Bill Nelson*||Democratic||52%||Poll Date: 2012-11-01|
|Connie Mack||Republican||41%||Number Polled: 897|
|Other||-||2%||Margin of Error: 4%|
|Undecided||-||5%||Voter Type: Likely|
* = Incumbent
Nelson on top by double digits
By: Ryne (I-WA) on 2012-11-01 @ 23:09:32
If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were [ROTATE] Democrat Bill Nelson andRepublican Connie Mack [END ROTATE], for whom would you vote?
[IF ‘NONE/OTHER/DON’T KNOW/REFUSED’ AT Q2]
Q3. Do you lean more towards were [ROTATE] Democratic candidate Bill Nelson or Republican candidateConnie Mack [END ROTATE]?
About this Poll
These are findings from Ipsos polling conducted for Thomson Reuters from Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2012. A sample of 1,209 American Registered Voters (RVs) and 897 Likely Voters (LVs), age 18 and over in Florida was interviewed online. Data below has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points for RVs and 3.7 for LVs. For all states, the data are weighted to each state’s current population voter data by gender, age, education, ethnicity, and a political values scale.Ipsos’ Likely Voter model (applied to Voting Intention questions only) uses a seven-item summated index, including questions on voter registration, past voting behavior, likelihood of voting in the upcoming election, and interest in following news about the campaign. This index is then transformed by logistic regression into estimated probabilities of voting.
Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using acredibility interval . All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figuresdo not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding.
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