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CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DBenjamin L. Cardin*Democratic57%piePoll Date: 2012-11-03
RDaniel John BonginoRepublican34%Number Polled: 705
IRob SobhaniIndependent0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-9%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

GOP win not in the cards

 By: MilesC56 (D-VA) on 2012-11-04 @ 18:07:00

Question:
Who will you vote for in this year’s U.S. Senate race?

About this Poll
The poll was conducted online October 31-November 3, 2012.

Sampling method: Respondents were selected using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2010 American Community Survey. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the Registration and Voting Supplements of the 2008 and 2010 Current Population Surveys and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the YouGov panel, an opt-in Internet panel.

Some respondents were initially selected on September 7-14 from YouGov¹s panel, then recontacted on October 4-11 and again on October 31-November 3. Others were selected for the first time on October 31-November 3.

Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, and non-placement on an ideology scale.

Number of respondents: 705 likely voters. Margin of error ±4.1% (adjusted for weighting).

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