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Source: Susquehanna Polling & Research (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DRobert Casey, Jr.*Democratic46%piePoll Date: 2012-09-20
RTom SmithRepublican41%Number Polled: 800
-Other-1%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-12%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Cases with Lead in Pennsylvania

 By: leip (--MA) on 2012-10-02 @ 14:07:26

Question:
If the general election for United States Senate were being held today would you vote for Tom Smith, the Republican candidate or Bob Casey, Jr., the Democratic candidate? (ROTATE NAMES - TEST INTENSITY...)
1. Definitely Smith 26%
2. Probably Smith 15%
3. Definitely Casey, Jr. 34%
4. Probably Casey, Jr. 12%
5. Undecided 12%
6. Other 1%

About this Poll
This poll was commissioned by The Pittsburgh Tribune Review and conducted by Susquehanna Polling and Research. Completed interviews were conducted September 18-20, 2012 with 800 likely general election voters who have prior vote history in 1 or better in G11, G10, G09, and/or G08, as well as new registered voters since November 2011. In order to be eligible to complete the survey, respondents had to first confirm their likelihood of voting in the upcoming election on November 06, 2012. Interviews are randomly selected (using live telephone agents) and conducted by the professionally-trained survey research stafffromtheHarrisburgtelephonecallcenterofSusquehannaPollingandResearch. Interviewsareclosely monitored to ensure a representative sample of Pennsylvania’s electorate is achieved based on party, geography, gender, age and other demographics; results are sometimes statistically weighted.

The margin of error for a sample size of 800 is +/-3.46% at the 95% confidence level

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