Election 2014 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

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Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

		19 \|	36 \|
Dem	12
Rep	20
Ind	0
Tos	4

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Toss			Net Gain
	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-3	-6	11	1	12	2	1	3	-6
Rep	+3	+3	+6	0	0	0	11	3	14	1	0	1	+6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Polls Aggregate History

Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
AK	Tie	45%	45%	3%	7%	1	2	0	0	D - I	Tossup
KS	I +0	45%	0%	46%	9%	0	1	2	0	R - I	Tossup
IA	R +1	48%	46%	1%	5%	0	2	0	1	D - O	Tossup
NH	D +1	47%	48%	1%	4%	2	1	0	0	D - I	Tossup
CO	R +2	45%	43%	5%	6%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Slight Rep
NC	D +2	43%	45%	4%	8%	3	0	0	0	D - I	Slight Dem
GA	R +3	48%	45%	3%	4%	0	3	0	0	R - O	Slight Rep

Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
CO	R +2	45%	43%	5%	6%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Slight Rep
AR	R +9	50%	40%	3%	7%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Lean Rep
SD	R +13	44%	31%	19%	5%	0	3	0	0	D - O	Strong Rep
MT	R +16	52%	36%	1%	12%	0	3	0	0	D - O	Strong Rep
WV	R +19	54%	35%	1%	9%	0	3	0	0	D - O	Strong Rep
LA	R +22	58%	36%	0%	7%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Strong Rep

Most Recent State Polls

State	Date	Poll Source	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	M.O.E.	Sample	#C
LA	12-04	Rasmussen	R +16	56%	40%	0%	4%	3%	1,000 L	4
LA	11-25	Wilson Perkins Allen	R +24	57%	33%	0%	10%	4%	500 L	22
LA	11-20	GEB International	R +26	60%	34%	0%	6%	3%	850 L	7
LA	11-20	JMC Enterprises	R +15	55%	40%	0%	5%	4%	754 L	6
LA	11-19	Rasmussen	R +15	56%	41%	0%	3%	3%	1,000 L	26
LA	11-17	Gravis Marketing	R +21	59%	38%	0%	3%	4%	643 L	17
LA	11-17	Vox Populi Polling	R +11	53%	42%	0%	5%	4%	761 L	20
LA	11-12	Magellan Strategies	R +16	57%	41%	0%	2%	2%	1,917 L	19
NC	11-03	Public Policy Polling	D +2	44%	46%	5%	6%	3%	1,333 L	68
NH	11-03	Public Policy Polling	D +2	47%	49%	0%	4%	3%	1,690 L	68
KS	11-03	Public Policy Polling	I +1	46%	0%	47%	7%	3%	963 L	68
IA	11-03	Public Policy Polling	R +3	48%	45%	2%	5%	3%	1,265 L	68
GA	11-03	Public Policy Polling	R +1	46%	45%	5%	5%	3%	975 L	68
NM	11-02	Survey USA	D +13	39%	52%	0%	10%	4%	548 L	9
NJ	11-02	Monmouth University	D +14	40%	54%	1%	5%	4%	750 L	2
NH	11-02	University of New Hampshire	D +2	45%	47%	3%	6%	4%	757 L	7
MI	11-02	Mitchell Research	D +12	40%	52%	4%	4%	3%	1,224 L	5
MI	11-02	Public Policy Polling	D +13	38%	51%	4%	6%	3%	914 L	17
ME	11-02	Maine People's Research Center	R +20	57%	37%	0%	5%	3%	906 L	7
IA	11-02	Quinnipiac University	Tie	47%	47%	2%	4%	4%	778 L	14
IL	11-02	Public Policy Polling	D +10	41%	51%	4%	4%	3%	1,064 L	16
GA	11-02	Landmark Communications	R +4	50%	46%	2%	2%	3%	1,500 L	8
GA	11-02	Insider Advantage	R +3	48%	45%	3%	4%	3%	1,463 L	14
GA	11-02	Survey USA	R +3	47%	44%	5%	4%	4%	591 L	26
CO	11-02	Public Policy Polling	R +3	48%	45%	3%	3%	3%	739 L	115
CO	11-02	Quinnipiac University	R +2	45%	43%	6%	4%	3%	815 L	13
AK	11-02	Public Policy Polling	R +1	46%	45%	4%	5%	3%	1,052 L
NH	11-01	New England College	R +1	49%	48%	1%	2%	3%	1,526 L	22
MA	11-01	Public Policy Polling	D +14	38%	52%	0%	10%	3%	887 L	2
LA	11-01	Public Policy Polling	D +8	35%	43%	15%	7%	4%	1,003 L	31
KY	11-01	Public Policy Polling	R +8	50%	42%	3%	5%	3%	1,503 L	52
AR	11-01	Public Policy Polling	R +8	49%	41%	4%	5%	4%	1,092 L	34
NC	10-31	YouGov	D +3	41%	44%	3%	12%	3%	1,727 L
NC	10-31	Public Policy Polling	D +1	45%	46%	4%	5%	4%	738 L	2
NH	10-31	Public Policy Polling	D +2	47%	49%	0%	4%	4%	679 L
KS	10-31	Public Policy Polling	R +1	47%	0%	46%	7%	4%	752 L	10
IA	10-31	Public Policy Polling	R +1	48%	47%	0%	5%	4%	617 L	15
IA	10-31	Selzer & Co	R +7	51%	44%	3%	4%	4%	701 L	92
GA	10-31	Public Policy Polling	Tie	46%	46%	4%	4%	4%	533 L
CO	10-31	YouGov	R +1	43%	42%	5%	11%	3%	1,417 L
VA	10-30	Public Policy Polling	D +9	40%	49%	5%	6%	3%	937 L	9
NC	10-30	Gravis Marketing	R +1	47%	46%	0%	8%	3%	1,006 L	1
NC	10-30	Harper Polling	R +2	46%	44%	6%	4%	4%	511 L	15
NC	10-30	CNN/ORC	D +2	46%	48%	4%	2%	4%	559 L	5
NC	10-30	Civitas Institute	Tie	41%	41%	6%	6%	4%	600 L	9
NC	10-30	Fox News	D +1	42%	43%	5%	10%	3%	909 L	25
NH	10-30	Rasmussen	D +7	45%	52%	1%	2%	3%	940 L	25
MN	10-30	Survey USA	D +11	40%	51%	7%	3%	4%	596 L	3
MA	10-30	Western New England College	D +20	34%	54%	0%	11%	5%	430 L	2
LA	10-30	Marist College	D +8	36%	44%	16%	4%	4%	630 L	40

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