Question:
If the election for US Senate were held today and the candidates were (rotate names) Mark Begich and Dan Sullivan, for whom would you vote? (IF "undecided" or "don't know" -> ASK "Are you leaning toward either candidate?")

Sullivan 34.0%
Leaning Sullivan 2.4%
Begich 39.0%
Leaning Begich 1.6%
DK / Other 21.6% Refused 1.4%

About this Poll
Hays Research Group was contracted by the Alaska AFL-CIO to conduct this telephone poll as a means to collect data on the attitudes toward candidates for public office among likely voters in the state of Alaska. This survey was fielded 9/13/14-9/14/14 among 500 registered voters in the state of Alaska who had voted in at least two of the last three statewide general elections. The sample size of 500 voters surveyed results in a margin of error of +/- 4.38%.

The sample of Alaskan voters surveyed for this project was designed to accurately reflect the actual population percentages of each of the precincts within the state of Alaska. Within the voting history target, individuals were chosen at random from Hays Research Group's proprietary database of Alaskan household and cell phone numbers. Quotas were established to ensure the results reflect the actual gender, age, and population distribution within the state of Alaska. If quotas could not be met for each criterion due to non-response, the results were weighted to reflect actual percentages. Callbacks were attempted as many as five times for each number to maximize the penetration of the sample. Quotas were also established to ensure that 30% of the completed interviews were done with respondents on cell phones.