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Source: YouGov (url)
* = Incumbent Markey +16 By: Lief (D-NY) on 2014-11-01 @ 14:41:06 Question: If the 2014 Massachusetts election for U.S. Senator were being held today, which candidate would you vote for? Ed Markey (Democrat) Brian Herr (Republican) Not Sure About this Poll YouGov interviewed 870 respondents who were then matched down to a sample of 800 to produce the final dataset. The respondents were matched to a sampling frame on gender, age, race, education, party identification, ideology, and political interest. The frame was constructed by stratified sampling from the full 2012 American Community Survey (ACS) sample with selection within strata by weighted sampling with replacements (using the person weights on the public use file). Data on voter registration status and turnout were matched to this frame using the November 2012 Current Population Survey. Data on interest in politics and party identification were then matched to this frame from the 2007 Pew Religious Life Survey. The matched cases were weighted to the subset of Massachusetts registered voters from the sampling frame using propensity scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined and a logistic regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, years of education, and marital status. Weights were post-stratified by information from current Massachusetts party registration statistics. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles. Login to Post Comments Forum Thread for this Poll |
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