Election 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-04-20 Version:2

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	14
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	11
Ind	0
Tos	12
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+6	+8	0	0	0	13	1	14	+8
Rep	0	0	0	-2	-6	-8	12	2	14	-8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
46	34	12

Comments
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Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

By: Miamiu1027 (D-NY) - 2006-04-20 @ 15:06:29

Dems ain't winning Florida

By: WI_Dem (D-WI) - 2006-05-03 @ 20:34:36

Wow. I thought my map was optimistic for the Democrats. I don't think we're winning Florida, though.

By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-05-04 @ 02:00:20

Although I agree that the Dems will take Ohio I'm curious what makes you so confident. As a decidedly "purple state" I'm not willing to say that either party is guaranteed a victory. I think that the bloody Republican primary and Strickland's (D) vote against 3rd trimester abortions will push him to victory. As a side note this race is a very bizarre matchup: a black Republican vs. an ordained minister Democrat.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	28/37	16/37	44/74	59.5%	1	314	321	T	456
2010 Governor	26/37	14/37	40/74	54.1%	1	314	242	T	312
2008 President	41/56	23/56	64/112	57.1%	8	192	1238	T	1,505
2008 Senate	29/33	13/33	42/66	63.6%	1	342	316	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	4/11	13/22	59.1%	1	342	232	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	22/52	2/52	24/104	23.1%	1	-	183	T	271
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	13/33	44/66	66.7%	3	52	299	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	12/36	46/72	63.9%	2	201	192	T	312
2004 President	51/56	39/56	90/112	80.4%	5	12	219	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	271/351	136/351	407/702	58.0%

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