Election 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-08-23 Version:1

Prediction Map

Gceres Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Gceres Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	20
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+4	+5	-2	-1	-3	11	0	11	+2
Rep	+2	+1	+3	-1	-4	-5	13	4	17	-2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
48	30	18

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	51/56	37/56	88/112	78.6%		3	375	534	T	760
2010 Senate	30/37	17/37	47/74	63.5%		1	196	280	T	456
2008 President	49/56	37/56	86/112	76.8%		52	1	324	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	17/33	49/66	74.2%		2	5	144	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	29/52	11/52	40/104	38.5%		1	-	106	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	18/49	4/49	22/98	22.4%		2	-	152	T	235
2007 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		1	40	135	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	15/33	46/66	69.7%		2	26	257	T	465
2006 Governor	30/36	18/36	48/72	66.7%		1	76	157	T	312
2004 President	52/56	35/56	87/112	77.7%		6	21	474	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	324/411	192/411	516/822	62.8%

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