PredictionsEndorse2007 Gubernatorial Predictions - Kevinstat (D-ME) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2007-09-03 Version:2

Prediction Map
Kevinstat MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Kevinstat MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Non47
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non47
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+10+10-1-10000
Rep0+1+1-10-11010
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
633
piepiepie

Comments

Every race seems pretty solid now, so I switched KY and MS to strong (LA was already strong). I don't think any candidate will crack 60 though, although that's a distinct possibility in LA and a darkhorse possibility in KY. Eaves seems like enough of an old-style Democrat to hold Barbour below 60%, but not to win.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 2 12 56T103
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 2 64 1T167
P 2004 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 5 69 98T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 58/61 43/61 101/122 82.8% pie


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