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History of the Parties

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Prediction Map



* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		2 |	3 |	50 |
Dem	1
Rep	2
Ind	0
Non	47

Confidence States Won

		2 |	3 |	50 |
Dem	1
Rep	2
Ind	0
Tos	0
Non	47

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	0
Rep	0	+1	+1	-1	0	-1	1	0	1	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
6	3	3

Comments

KY: I have a feeling that Fletcher just might be the nominee here, making it a lean Dem race. It'll go down to tossup Dem if Northup manages to win.

LA: The Democratic side is more a circus than a legitimate primary. The Republicans are all but crowning their best bet, Jindal. We might as well swear Jindal in right now.

MS: I don't know enough about the Democrats to be able to confidently place this at srong Dem, but Barbour probably will win.

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