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Data Sets

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Date of Prediction: 2007-08-12 Version:3

Prediction Map
Mark Warner 08 Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Mark Warner 08 Map


Prediction States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Non47
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non47
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+10+10-1-10000
Rep0+1+1-10-11010
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
633
piepiepie

Comments

Update:

I put all 3 states on "strong" because I currently believe every frontrunner will win by a margin of slightly more than 10%, with Jindal even by a larger margin ...

KY:

Beshear-D: 58%
Fletcher-R: 42%

LA:

Jindal-R: 50%+
Several other contenders with less than 30% each

MS:

Barbour-R: 56%
Eaves-D: 44%


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate 32/36 25/36 57/72 79.2% pie 8 0 82T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 23/36 54/72 75.0% pie 8 0 4T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 5 1 17T
P 2012 President 55/56 48/56 103/112 92.0% pie 4 1 26T
P 2012 Senate 33/33 22/33 55/66 83.3% pie 5 1 20T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 4 1 24T
P 2012 Rep Primary 46/52 23/52 69/104 66.3% pie 32 - 8T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 4 2 37T
P 2010 Senate 35/37 29/37 64/74 86.5% pie 9 1 6T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 7 1 11T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 3 0 1T
P 2008 President 52/56 44/56 96/112 85.7% pie 18 1 74T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 23/33 56/66 84.8% pie 4 1 14T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 2 1 9T
P 2008 Dem Primary 21/52 9/52 30/104 28.8% pie 3 - 150T
P 2008 Rep Primary 13/49 4/49 17/98 17.3% pie 3 - 169T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 3 86 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 70 0 20T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 26/36 61/72 84.7% pie 52 0 22T
Aggregate Predictions 487/579 351/579 838/1158 72.4% pie


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