Election 2008 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-31 Version:13

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	7
Rep	4
Ind	0
Non	39

Confidence States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	5
Rep	4
Ind	0
Tos	2
Non	39

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	4	2	6	+1
Rep	0	0	0	0	-1	-1	4	0	4	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 22)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
20	11	9

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 3

NC now a Dem-leaning tossup.

Version: 2

Not much to say here. I don't see any strong Republican candidates in Delaware or North Carolina, so they're lean Dem. I think Gregoire has a slight advantage over Rossi. IN and MO are tossups, and I think Dems will probably prevail in MO, but not IN, mostly due to IN's strong Republican tendencies compared to MO's swinginess. The other six Governors are safe as houses.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	52/56	40/56	92/112	82.1%	2	56	307	T	684
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%	3	4	47	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%	3	4	11	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	2	9	24	T	228
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%	2	70	12	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%	34	1	63	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	30/37	65/74	87.8%	24	2	1	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	4	2	1	T	103
2008 President	53/56	44/56	97/112	86.6%	18	1	55	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	27/33	60/66	90.9%	28	1	1	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	9/11	20/22	90.9%	13	4	9	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	3	3	58	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	325/339	259/339	584/678	86.1%

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