Election 2008 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:16

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	6
Rep	5
Ind	0
Non	39

Confidence States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	5
Rep	4
Ind	0
Tos	2
Non	39

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	4	1	5	0
Rep	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	4	0	4	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 22)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
17	10	7

Analysis

My Final Gubernatorial Map.
Washington will barely go Democrat, while North Carolina goes Republican.
Those are the only real toss-up states. Every other state is set in stone for the most part. Missouri could be close, but I doubt it will go Republican. Indiana is very solidly for Daniels now.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 15

Nothing has really changed.

Version: 14

North Carolina switches to Republican
Washington switches to Democrat

Version: 12

Despite the GOP struggling in Congress, Republicans should do quite well in Gubernatorial.

Version: 11

Democrat take a slim lead, but Republican still do better compared to 4 years ago, picking up North Carolina. Washington will be a very close election.

Version: 8

Just guessing...

Version: 7

I'm just going by the recent polls.

Version: 6

Indiana should go Republican. I only know that because I live in Indiana. The person he is running against isn't really connecting with the voters well.

Version: 5

Honestly, I have no clue. :/

Version: 4

Mitch Daniels should beat Jill Long Thompson in Indiana. The rest are guesses.

Version History

Member Comments

By: tmthforu94 (D-MO) 2008-11-03 @ 19:48:54
It's been fun predicting. May the best candidates win!

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					244
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	27	1	T	115
2022 Senate	31/35	22/35	53/70	75.7%	9	1	224	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	28/36	62/72	86.1%	8	1	23	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	3	6	1	T	118
2020 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%	13	6	74	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%	10	4	274	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	6	6	10	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%	4	10	130	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	21/35	53/70	75.7%	17	1	132	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	28/36	61/72	84.7%	16	3	6	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	2	3	40	T	149
2016 President	50/56	35/56	85/112	75.9%	18	1	66	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	20/34	51/68	75.0%	16	1	60	T	362
2016 Governor	11/12	7/12	18/24	75.0%	14	1	3	T	279
2015 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	2	10	3	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	27/36	62/72	86.1%	22	0	4	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	18/36	47/72	65.3%	19	0	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	3	13	17	T	153
2012 President	53/56	39/56	92/112	82.1%	62	1	435	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%	26	1	164	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%	14	1	89	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	43/52	22/52	65/104	62.5%	43	-	22	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%	14	1	37	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%	128	1	34	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	25/37	58/74	78.4%	114	1	74	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	18	1	1	T	103
2008 President	49/56	36/56	85/112	75.9%	67	1	357	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	19/33	51/66	77.3%	23	1	96	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%	16	1	86	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	696/765	487/765	1183/1530	77.3%

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