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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:2

Prediction Map
PGSable Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
PGSable Map


Prediction States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem7
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Non39
 

Confidence States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem5
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Tos2
 
Non39
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1000426+1
Rep0000-1-1404-1
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 22)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
16115
piepiepie

Analysis

Edit (November 4, 2008):

+10% to Democrats in Washington.

-20% to Republicans in Vermont.

Moved Missouri from tossup to strong Democratic.

Moved North Carolina from tossup Republican (>40%) to tossup Democratic (>40%).


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 1 2 21T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 1 2 11T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 1 1T
P 2008 President 53/56 43/56 96/112 85.7% pie 56 1 74T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 3 1 9T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 5/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 0 152T
P 2008 Dem Primary 45/52 24/52 69/104 66.3% pie 28 - 19
P 2008 Rep Primary 38/49 18/49 56/98 57.1% pie 25 - 21T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 80 1T
Aggregate Predictions 254/280 175/280 429/560 76.6% pie


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