Election 2008 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-04 Version:1

Prediction Map

Thomas216 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Thomas216 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	5
Rep	6
Ind	0
Non	39

Confidence States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	5
Rep	5
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	39

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-1	-1	-2	3	1	4	-1
Rep	+1	+1	+2	0	-1	-1	4	0	4	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 22)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
14	9	5

Analysis

Washington could go either way but in North Carolina and Missouri I believe that McCrory and Nixon have an edge.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		3	3	56	T	103
2008 President	48/56	36/56	84/112	75.0%		2	21	382	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	19/33	49/66	74.2%		1	31	144	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%		1	31	212	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	88/102	61/102	149/204	73.0%

Links

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