Election 2008 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-30 Version:1

Prediction Map

mpirner Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

mpirner Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	5
Rep	6
Ind	0
Non	39

Confidence States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	4
Rep	5
Ind	0
Tos	2
Non	39

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-1	-1	-2	3	1	4	-1
Rep	+1	+1	+2	0	-1	-1	4	0	4	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 22)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
13	9	4

Analysis

Washington flips...I sense Rossi momentum.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%		1	279	114	T	678
2008 President	48/56	28/56	76/112	67.9%		2	2	671	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	17/33	48/66	72.7%		1	5	172	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	4/11	13/22	59.1%		1	5	232	T	264
2004 President	47/56	33/56	80/112	71.4%		2	24	1216	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	185/212	115/212	300/424	70.8%

Links

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