Election 2009 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2009-10-13 Version:3

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		2 \|	2 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	2
Ind	0
Non	48

Confidence States Won

		2 \|	2 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	1
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	48

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-1	-1	-2	0	0	0	-2
Rep	+1	+1	+2	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 4)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
4	2	2

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 1

Virgina Is safe for Mcdonnell. Christie has had consitan leads over the incumbent, so unless something najor happens should lean Republican this go round.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2022 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%	1	10	266	T	305
2020 President	52/56	43/56	95/112	84.8%	3	6	179	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	22/35	54/70	77.1%	1	22	101	T	423
2018 Governor	33/36	19/36	52/72	72.2%	3	38	189	T	372
2016 President	47/56	24/56	71/112	63.4%	1	24	552	T	678
2014 Senate	34/36	24/36	58/72	80.6%	3	1	60	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	15/36	44/72	61.1%	4	1	171	T	300
2013 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%	2	163	138	T	153
2012 President	54/56	38/56	92/112	82.1%	5	25	435	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	17/33	48/66	72.7%	5	2	144	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	2	104	157	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	19/52	9/52	28/104	26.9%	12	-	164	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%	2	122	12	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	28/37	62/74	83.8%	16	0	21	T	456
2010 Governor	32/37	24/37	56/74	75.7%	11	1	106	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	3	21	1	T	103
Aggregate Predictions	443/524	292/524	735/1048	70.1%

Links

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