PredictionsEndorse2009 Gubernatorial Predictions - BushCountry (I-IN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2009-07-29 Version:5

Prediction Map
BushCountry MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
BushCountry MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem0
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Non48
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem0
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non48
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-1-1-2000-2
Rep+1+1+2000000+2
Ind0000000000


Analysis

The dynamics of the Virginia race change as Deeds falls behind.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2009-08-17 @ 20:48:57
I'm not ready to consider my rating of the New Jersey race just yet, though I have noticed some positive noise on Corzine's side, but I'm not seeing 2009 as the year of the incumbent. In Virginia, it seems as though the Republicans have something to cheer about in far the governor's race has swung in their favor, and this may fortell favor for them in placing Virginia back in their column in 2012. prediction Map

 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) 2009-10-13 @ 12:45:19
I think if one more poll such as the Mommoth poll comes out in favor of Corzine, I think you should change your rating. It's a non internal poll, not like SV or Democracy Corps.

Last Edit: 2009-10-13 @ 12:46:47
prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 238
P 2023 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 6 2 74T115
P 2022 Senate 35/35 28/35 63/70 90.0% pie 49 1 16T305
P 2022 Governor 35/36 27/36 62/72 86.1% pie 49 1 23T272
P 2020 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 111 6 260T684
P 2020 Senate 32/35 23/35 55/70 78.6% pie 65 4 66T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 19 21 51T293
P 2019 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 10 130T192
P 2018 Senate 33/35 23/35 56/70 80.0% pie 46 4 42T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 18/36 50/72 69.4% pie 45 6 226T372
P 2016 President 51/56 38/56 89/112 79.5% pie 63 1 17T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 24/34 56/68 82.4% pie 55 1 1362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 6/12 16/24 66.7% pie 25 1 25T279
P 2014 Senate 33/36 26/36 59/72 81.9% pie 34 1 42T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 16/36 46/72 63.9% pie 31 0 123T300
P 2012 President 52/56 41/56 93/112 83.0% pie 157 0 401T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 20/33 50/66 75.8% pie 66 0 111T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 21 0 5T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 42/52 18/52 60/104 57.7% pie 105 - 41T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 5 0 37T106
P 2010 Senate 35/37 26/37 61/74 82.4% pie 93 2 34T456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 94 1 59T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 14 1 1T103
P 2008 President 52/56 42/56 94/112 83.9% pie 183 1 115T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 101 1 28T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 43 1 86T264
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 8 2 58T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 24/33 55/66 83.3% pie 94 1 46T465
P 2006 Governor 33/36 28/36 61/72 84.7% pie 103 1 22T312
P 2004 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 140 2 49T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 816/884 586/884 1402/1768 79.3% pie


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