Election 2010 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-18 Version:24

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	14
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	8
Rep	21
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+7	+7	-3	-9	-12	4	3	7	-5
Rep	+3	+9	+12	0	-7	-7	6	5	11	+5
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

In this area the individual state races and local issues have helped the DEMS except in the midwest Great Lakes where the rust belt drags the DEMs down...

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2010-10-18 @ 11:39:55
Change in Oregon and soem %'s...races to watch are Ohio where Strickland is within striking distance to retain his seat...a loss by him will mean a sweep in Midwest except for MN...

By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-10-19 @ 11:25:41
Strickland has recovered much ground, but two weeks out he's not going to make it.

By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2010-10-19 @ 21:46:54
I agree it was the midwest sweep of GOv. mansions which was more my point except for MN...

By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-10-23 @ 13:24:20
Even while Fisher has been defeated in the Senate race, Strickland has beat his way back in to contention.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	16/56	66/112	58.9%	8	1	614	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	11/34	43/68	63.2%	8	0	317	T	362
2014 Senate	32/36	16/36	48/72	66.7%	19	13	240	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%	2	162	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	1	229	1	T	153
2012 President	54/56	30/56	84/112	75.0%	46	2	630	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	7/33	38/66	57.6%	8	3	283	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	1	78	157	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	26/52	4/52	30/104	28.8%	1	-	154	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	11/37	45/74	60.8%	50	7	306	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	18/37	52/74	70.3%	26	6	143	T	312
2008 President	53/56	24/56	77/112	68.8%	83	1	625	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%	4	122	281	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	1	286	212	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	427/490	179/490	606/980	61.8%