Election 2010 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-28 Version:44

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	11
Rep	25
Ind	1
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	10
Rep	23
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+5	+5	-3	-10	-13	4	2	6	-8
Rep	+3	+10	+13	0	-6	-6	6	6	12	+7
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
56	35	21

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 25

Updating California. With two new polls showing a tie or a slight Brown lead.

Version: 8

Back to reality from the last version...This is where I believe the races to be if the election were held today.

Version: 7

Death to the Tea Party...Gubernatorial Addition.

Version: 6

California: Updated to show a slight Whitman lead. Whitman has been outspending her democratic opponent Former Governor Jerry Brown. However, I still give an edge to Brown come the fall campaign. If Whitman were to pull it off it would be very close due to California demographics. She will have to buy every vote she recieves.

Version: 3

Best Case Landslide Scenario for Democratic pickup opportunities. This map will likely *not* happen in the fall but simply illustrates a best case scenario.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					244
2022 Senate	34/35	26/35	60/70	85.7%	1	4	48	T	305
2022 Governor	32/36	27/36	59/72	81.9%	1	4	88	T	272
2020 President	50/56	36/56	86/112	76.8%	9	6	529	T	684
2020 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%	1	4	337	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	1	5	51	T	293
2018 Senate	30/35	17/35	47/70	67.1%	5	0	334	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	25/36	58/72	80.6%	3	2	56	T	372
2016 President	48/56	29/56	77/112	68.8%	14	0	369	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	17/34	47/68	69.1%	7	0	213	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	6/12	15/24	62.5%	5	0	47	T	279
2014 Senate	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%	60	0	82	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	17/36	46/72	63.9%	53	0	123	T	300
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%	97	1	77	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	22/33	54/66	81.8%	48	0	40	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	12	0	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	44/52	26/52	70/104	67.3%	67	-	5	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%	71	1	63	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	21/37	56/74	75.7%	44	5	106	T	312
2008 President	51/56	42/56	93/112	83.0%	53	1	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	15/33	46/66	69.7%	4	24	227	T	407
2008 Governor	8/11	5/11	13/22	59.1%	2	17	232	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	49/52	18/52	67/104	64.4%	24	-	23	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	33/49	16/49	49/98	50.0%	7	-	55	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	751/845	493/845	1244/1690	73.6%