Election 2010 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-02 Version:45

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	10
Rep	26
Ind	1
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	10
Rep	26
Ind	1
Tos	0
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+4	+4	-3	-10	-13	4	2	6	-9
Rep	+3	+10	+13	0	-5	-5	6	7	13	+8
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
59	34	25

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 1

A negative feeling towards Dems across the country is spreading. Repbulicans are leading in polls almost everywhere. So many former Democrat seats are now going to go Republican. I know you might say I'm biased, but no. The polls don't lie. If a Republican has a 1 point lead I give it to the them. If a Democrat has a 1 point lead, I give it to them. In Rhode Island, I gave the Independent the benefeit of the doubt.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	31/35	24/35	55/70	78.6%	3	0	67	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	22/36	53/72	73.6%	2	2	164	T	372
2016 President	53/56	37/56	90/112	80.4%	3	1	10	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	22/34	52/68	76.5%	3	1	35	T	362
2016 Governor	11/12	7/12	18/24	75.0%	2	1	3	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	26/36	61/72	84.7%	5	0	13	T	382
2014 Governor	33/36	20/36	53/72	73.6%	3	0	9	T	300
2012 President	52/56	30/56	82/112	73.2%	8	19	654	T	760
2012 Senate	28/33	12/33	40/66	60.6%	3	4	252	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	6/11	15/22	68.2%	1	48	131	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	34/52	9/52	43/104	41.3%	3	-	102	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%	1	88	37	T	106
2010 Senate	32/37	23/37	55/74	74.3%	61	0	133	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%	45	0	59	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	417/475	264/475	681/950	71.7%