Election 2010 Gubernatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:8

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	11
Rep	25
Ind	1
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	6
Rep	21
Ind	1
Tos	9
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+4	+4	-3	-9	-12	4	3	7	-8
Rep	+3	+9	+12	0	-5	-5	6	7	13	+7
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
56	35	21

Analysis

Republican Governorships:

Maine (LePage)
Connecticut (Foley)
Pennsylvania (Corbett)
Ohio (Kasich)
Michigan (Snyder)
Illinois (Brady)
Wisconsin (Walker)
Tennessee (Haslam)
South Carolina (Haley)
Georgia (Deal)
Alabama (Bentley)
Florida (Scott)
Iowa (Branstad)
South Dakota (Daugaard)
Nebraska (Heinnmann)
Kansas (Brownback)
Oklahoma (Fallin)
Texas (Perry)
New Mexico (Martinez)
Wyoming (Mead)
Utah (Herbert)
Idaho (Otter)
Arizona (Brewer)
Nevada (Sandoval)
Alaska (Parnell)

Democrat Governorships:

New Hampshire (Lynch)
Vermont (Shumlin)
Massachusetts (Patrick)
New York (Cuomo)
Maryland (O'Malley)
Arkansas (Beebe)
Minnesota (Dayton)
Colorado (Hickenlooper)
California (Brown)
Oregon (Kitzhaber)
Hawaii (Abercrombie)

Independent Governorships:

Rhode Island (Chaffee)

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: CR (--MO) 2010-11-01 @ 18:52:55
Final prediction.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	51/56	30/56	81/112	72.3%	10	3	194	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	16/34	46/68	67.6%	5	3	252	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%	4	3	67	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	18/36	53/72	73.6%	10	1	158	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	20/36	52/72	72.2%	6	1	15	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	233	17	T	153
2012 President	52/56	38/56	90/112	80.4%	25	2	489	T	760
2012 Senate	29/33	19/33	48/66	72.7%	6	2	144	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	8/11	18/22	81.8%	5	2	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	46/52	17/52	63/104	60.6%	29	-	27	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%	1	245	37	T	106
2010 Senate	33/37	26/37	59/74	79.7%	19	1	63	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	21/37	56/74	75.7%	8	1	106	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	2	3	1	T	103
2008 President	47/56	28/56	75/112	67.0%	44	1	702	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	14/33	45/66	68.2%	7	1	257	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	4/11	13/22	59.1%	4	1	232	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	43/52	24/52	67/104	64.4%	22	-	23	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	34/49	15/49	49/98	50.0%	23	-	55	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	534/609	307/609	841/1218	69.0%