Election 2010 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Election Data

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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-21 Version:1

Prediction Map
Tokar Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
Tokar Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	17
Rep	20
Ind	0
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	11
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+7	+7	-1	-8	-9	6	4	10	-2
Rep	+1	+8	+9	0	-7	-7	6	5	11	+2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	33	21

Analysis

Disclaimer: I have not been following the governor races outside of the PA, CA and FL races, so I'm not overly confident in my picks outside of those three states. I used some polling dating and some maps from websites to make the other picks.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%	6	4	77	T
2012 Senate	33/33	20/33	53/66	80.3%	7	1	56	T
2010 Senate	34/37	22/37	56/74	75.7%	10	2	116	T
2010 Governor	33/37	21/37	54/74	73.0%	1	12	130	T
2008 President	51/56	41/56	92/112	82.1%	12	0	178	T
2008 Senate	32/33	18/33	50/66	75.8%	6	1	117	T
Aggregate Predictions	238/252	168/252	406/504	80.6%