PredictionsNewsEndorse2010 Gubernatorial Predictions - texaslefty (I-UT) ResultsForumPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Advertisements
Bicycle US Presidents Playing Cards
ad image
The US Presidents deck has been in production for many months. Each card has been hand drawn to feature the most intricate details. This deck features all 44 presidents and 4 popular first ladies as queens. Although we can debate which presidents should have been on the court cards, we have done much research before making our choices. We chose based on popularity and the s influence on our s history. The remaining presidents are uniquely featured on the number cards.

The US President Deck was not only designed to appeal to the card collector audience, but also as a fully playable deck of cards. It will be hard not to reflect on our great s history and the accomplishments of our past leaders while playing with these cards.

We are launching this deck in February in honor of s Day (February 16th) here in the United States. Pick up a few packs to show your patriotism, and few extra to play with and admire. Our goal is to have these in your hands by Independence Day More info


Data Sets

Advertise on the Atlas

Earn $$ with Bing

History Posters!
History of the Parties


Election and History Posters from History Shots!

Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed


Date of Prediction: 2010-11-02 Version:8

Prediction Map
texaslefty Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
texaslefty Map


Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep22
 
Ind1
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep19
 
Ind1
 
Tos9
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+6+6-2-9-11538-5
Rep+2+9+110-7-76511+4
Ind0+1+1000000+1


Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
603426
piepiepie

Analysis

This time, I've mixed my gut feeling predictions with the formula prediction methods I've used since 2006.

Alabama: Bentley by 15.33%
Alaska: Parnell by 15.67%
Arizona: Brewer by 15%
Arkansas: Beebe by 25.67%
California: Brown by 14.33%
Colorado: Hickenlooper by 3.67%
Connecticut: Malloy by 5.67%
Florida: Sink by 1.67%
Georgia: Deal by 7.67%
Hawaii: Abercrombie by 5%
Idaho: Otter by 22%
Illinois: Brady by 4.67%
Iowa: Branstad by 10.5%
Kansas: Brownback by 27%
Maine: LePage by 11.33%
Maryland: O'Malley by 12.67%
Massachusetts: Patrick by 2.67%
Michigan: Snyder by 16.67%
Minnesota: Dayton by 1.33%
Nebraska: Heineman by 42%
Nevada: Sandoval by 15.67%
New Hampshire: Lynch by 8.33%
New Mexico: Martinez by 8.33%
New York: Cuomo by 22%
Ohio: Strickland by 1%
Oklahoma: Fallin by 18.5%
Oregon: Kitzhaber by 1.67%
Pennsylvania: Corbett by 9%
Rhode Island: Chafee by 8%
South Carolina: Haley by 8.33%
South Dakota: Daugaard by 13.67%
Tennessee: Haslam by 28%
Texas: Perry by 1%
Utah: Herbert by 25.33%
Vermont: Shumlin by 2%
Wisconsin: Walker by 8.67%
Wyoming: Mead by 36%


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2010 Senate 34/37 23/37 57/74 77.0% pie 13 0 100T
P 2010 Governor 34/37 26/37 60/74 81.1% pie 8 0 45T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 14 0 1T
P 2008 President 54/56 43/56 97/112 86.6% pie 18 0 55T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 4 0 28T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 3 0 9T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 5 50 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 19/33 52/66 78.8% pie 3 4 113T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 28/36 63/72 87.5% pie 2 4 10T
Aggregate Predictions 238/248 176/248 414/496 83.5% pie



Back to 2010 Gubernatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home

© David Leip 2009 All Rights Reserved