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Race to the Moon


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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:7

Prediction Map
Mark Warner 08 Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Mark Warner 08 Map


Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep23
 
Ind1
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep21
 
Ind1
 
Tos7
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+6+6-3-9-12437-6
Rep+3+9+120-7-76511+5
Ind0+1+1000000+1


Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
633528
piepiepie

Analysis

My final prediction.

My gut tells me that Malloy and Sink will slightly win their races, while Strickland won't.

Let's see how it turns out ...


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 5 1 17T
P 2012 President 55/56 48/56 103/112 92.0% pie 4 1 26T
P 2012 Senate 33/33 22/33 55/66 83.3% pie 5 1 20T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 4 1 24T
P 2012 Rep Primary 46/52 23/52 69/104 66.3% pie 32 - 8T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 4 2 37T
P 2010 Senate 35/37 29/37 64/74 86.5% pie 9 1 6T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 7 1 11T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 3 0 1T
P 2008 President 52/56 44/56 96/112 85.7% pie 18 1 74T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 23/33 56/66 84.8% pie 4 1 14T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 2 1 9T
P 2008 Dem Primary 21/52 9/52 30/104 28.8% pie 3 - 150T
P 2008 Rep Primary 13/49 4/49 17/98 17.3% pie 3 - 169T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 3 86 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 70 0 20T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 26/36 61/72 84.7% pie 52 0 22T
Aggregate Predictions 424/507 303/507 727/1014 71.7% pie



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