PredictionsEndorse2010 Gubernatorial Predictions - Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:7

Prediction Map
Mark Warner 08 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Mark Warner 08 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep23
 
Ind1
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep21
 
Ind1
 
Tos7
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+6+6-3-9-12437-6
Rep+3+9+120-7-76511+5
Ind0+1+1000000+1


Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
633528
piepiepie

Analysis

My final prediction.

My gut tells me that Malloy and Sink will slightly win their races, while Strickland won't.

Let's see how it turns out ...


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 234
P 2023 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 3 2 74T115
P 2022 Senate 34/35 27/35 61/70 87.1% pie 4 4 37T305
P 2022 Governor 35/36 31/36 66/72 91.7% pie 4 4 1272
P 2021 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 3 7 1T118
P 2020 President 52/56 38/56 90/112 80.4% pie 8 6 392T684
P 2020 Senate 30/35 18/35 48/70 68.6% pie 2 14 337T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 1 18 10T293
P 2018 Senate 30/35 22/35 52/70 74.3% pie 3 1 170T483
P 2018 Governor 29/36 22/36 51/72 70.8% pie 3 3 205T372
P 2016 President 52/56 42/56 94/112 83.9% pie 1 1 2T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 20/34 52/68 76.5% pie 1 1 35T362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 6/12 16/24 66.7% pie 1 1 25T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 2 4 8T112
P 2014 Senate 32/36 25/36 57/72 79.2% pie 8 0 82T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 23/36 54/72 75.0% pie 8 0 4T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 5 1 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 48/56 103/112 92.0% pie 4 1 26T760
P 2012 Senate 33/33 22/33 55/66 83.3% pie 5 1 20T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 4 1 24T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 46/52 23/52 69/104 66.3% pie 32 - 8T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 4 2 37T106
P 2010 Senate 35/37 29/37 64/74 86.5% pie 9 1 6T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 7 1 11T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 3 0 1T103
P 2008 President 52/56 44/56 96/112 85.7% pie 18 1 74T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 23/33 56/66 84.8% pie 4 1 14T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 2 1 9T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 21/52 9/52 30/104 28.8% pie 3 - 150T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 13/49 4/49 17/98 17.3% pie 3 - 169T235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 3 86 1T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 70 0 20T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 26/36 61/72 84.7% pie 52 0 22T312
Aggregate Predictions 808/933 591/933 1399/1866 75.0% pie



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