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Date of Prediction: 2011-09-03 Version:29

Prediction Map
MilesC56 Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
MilesC56 Map


Prediction States Won
3 |
4 |
50 |
Dem2
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Non46
 

Confidence States Won
3 |
4 |
50 |
Dem2
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non46
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000001120
Rep0000001120
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 8)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
541
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: MilesC56 (D-VA) 2011-09-03 @ 22:36:03 prediction Map
With Williams struggling to crack 30% and Galbraith in high single-digits, its very possible that Beshear could break 60%.

 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2011-09-04 @ 13:22:12 prediction Map
It would surprise me. I think it's much likelier Beshear gets 57-58%, given that PPP had him at 55%

 By: MilesC56 (D-VA) 2011-09-04 @ 14:16:41 prediction Map
Yeah, I think he'll be getting 57-59%, but given to extent to which Williams' favorability and support have eroded, 60% isn't out of the question.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2015 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie
P 2014 Senate 33/36 21/36 54/72 75.0% pie 37 0 138T
P 2014 Governor 30/36 21/36 51/72 70.8% pie 31 0 22T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 4 58 17T
P 2012 President 55/56 44/56 99/112 88.4% pie 61 0 146T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 25/33 57/66 86.4% pie 34 0 5T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 3 0 1T
P 2012 Rep Primary 42/52 21/52 63/104 60.6% pie 30 - 27T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 29 66 37T
P 2010 Senate 37/37 30/37 67/74 90.5% pie 191 0 2T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 26/37 59/74 79.7% pie 123 0 59T
Aggregate Predictions 279/304 199/304 478/608 78.6% pie



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