Election 2011 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2011-10-22 Version:4

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		3 \|	4 \|	50 \|
Dem	2
Rep	2
Ind	0
Non	46

Confidence States Won

		3 \|	4 \|	50 \|
Dem	2
Rep	2
Ind	0
Tos	0
Non	46

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0
Rep	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 8)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
5	4	1

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 1

A rather boring election, all parties hold. Don't know much about the current state of the Democrats in MS, but presumably the GOP will be victorious. Jindal, of course, is massively popular and will in a landslide. Beshear's outlook looks good, but I think that he is vulnerable if the GOP nominates a strong candidate. It leans Democrat, though.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	53/56	43/56	96/112	85.7%	9	1	265	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	21/33	51/66	77.3%	8	1	94	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%	4	1	89	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	15/52	8/52	23/104	22.1%	18	-	184	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%	4	17	37	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	28/37	62/74	83.8%	27	1	21	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	26/37	60/74	81.1%	18	2	45	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	180/230	133/230	313/460	68.0%