PredictionsEndorse2011 Gubernatorial Predictions - theglobalizer (I-NM) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2011-06-03 Version:1

Prediction Map
theglobalizer MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
theglobalizer MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
3 |
4 |
50 |
Dem0
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Non46
 

Confidence States Won
3 |
4 |
50 |
Dem0
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Tos2
 
Non46
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-1-1-2000-2
Rep+1+1+2000112+2
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 8)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
220
piepiepie

Analysis

Low approvals for the Dem incumbents in lean-GOP states. Favoring the GOP candidates for now, but WV and KY are tossups.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2012 President 49/56 38/56 87/112 77.7% pie 3 8 561T760
P 2012 Senate 26/33 16/33 42/66 63.6% pie 3 8 237T343
P 2012 Governor 8/11 6/11 14/22 63.6% pie 1 132 157T228
P 2011 Governor 2/4 0/4 2/8 25.0% pie 1 158 100T106
P 2010 Senate 30/37 11/37 41/74 55.4% pie 3 154 375T456
P 2008 President 50/56 34/56 84/112 75.0% pie 6 2 382T1,505
P 2008 Dem Primary 30/52 0/52 30/104 28.8% pie 1 - 150T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 30/49 3/49 33/98 33.7% pie 1 - 113T235
Aggregate Predictions 225/298 108/298 333/596 55.9% pie



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