Election 2011 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Election Data

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Date of Prediction: 2010-12-17 Version:1

Prediction Map
wormyguy Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
wormyguy Map

Prediction States Won

		3 \|	4 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	3
Ind	0
Non	47

Confidence States Won

		3 \|	4 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	2
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	47

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	0	0	0	-1
Rep	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	1	1	2	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 8)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
4	2	2

Analysis

I don't see things getting any better for the Dems - as of right now I think the GOP picks up KY. Might sound crazy right now, but I think I'll be borne out on this one.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	38/56	17/56	55/112	49.1%	1	472	754
2011 Governor	2/4	2/4	4/8	50.0%	1	326	79	T
2010 Senate	32/37	22/37	54/74	73.0%	1	25	151	T
Aggregate Predictions	72/97	41/97	113/194	58.2%